← Back to All US Stocks

ACHC Stock Analysis - Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. AI Rating

ACHC Nasdaq Services-Specialty Outpatient Facilities, NEC DE CIK: 0001520697
Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
STRONG SELL
92% Confidence

Investment Thesis

Acadia Healthcare faces severe operational distress with negative profitability across all metrics, including a -33.3% net margin and -$439.9M free cash flow despite $3.3B in revenue. The company is burning cash operationally while maintaining excessive leverage (1.28x debt-to-equity, $2.5B long-term debt), creating substantial solvency risk. The dramatic revenue increase of 2485.6% YoY suggests a major acquisition or accounting event, yet profitability deteriorated significantly, indicating integration challenges or fundamental business model deterioration.

ACHC Strengths

  • + Adequate liquidity with 1.55x current ratio and $133.2M cash position providing near-term runway
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $131.9M suggesting some cash generation despite net losses
  • + Large revenue base of $3.3B providing market presence in specialty outpatient healthcare

ACHC Risks

  • ! Critical profitability crisis: -$1.1B operating loss and -$1.1B net loss with -33.3% net margin indicates fundamental operational failure
  • ! Severely negative free cash flow of -$439.9M combined with $2.5B long-term debt creates imminent refinancing and solvency risk
  • ! Deteriorating shareholder value: -56.6% ROE and -$12.16 diluted EPS demonstrate value destruction and potential equity impairment
  • ! Negative interest coverage of -38.5x indicates inability to service debt from operations, suggesting unsustainable capital structure
  • ! CapEx of $571.8M exceeds operating cash flow, indicating growth investments failing to generate offsetting returns

Key Metrics to Watch

ACHC Financial Metrics

Revenue
$3.3B
Net Income
$-1.1B
EPS (Diluted)
$-12.16
Free Cash Flow
$-439.9M
Total Assets
$5.5B
Cash Position
$133.2M

ACHC Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -32.2%
Net Margin -33.3%
ROE -56.6%
ROA -20.0%
FCF Margin -13.3%

ACHC Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.55x
Quick Ratio
1.54x
Debt/Equity
1.28x
Debt/Assets
61.3%
Interest Coverage
-38.52x
Long-term Debt
$2.5B
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI