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Nelnet Inc. (NNI) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

NNI NYSE Personal Credit Institutions NE CIK: 0001258602
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 9, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
65% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
65% Conf
HOLD
65% Conf

📊 NNI Key Takeaways

Revenue: $211.2M
Net Margin: 33.7%
Free Cash Flow: $61.6M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 2.06x
EPS: $1.97
AI Rating: HOLD with 65% confidence
Nelnet Inc. (NNI) receives a HOLD rating with 65% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $211.2M, net profit margin of 33.7%, and return on equity (ROE) of 1.9%, Nelnet Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete NNI stock analysis for 2026.

Is Nelnet Inc. (NNI) a Good Investment?

Claude

Nelnet demonstrates exceptional revenue growth (140% YoY) with strong cash flow generation ($61.6M FCF), but flat net income growth, critically weak interest coverage (0.4x), and severely depressed returns (1.9% ROE, 0.5% ROA) signal operational distress and debt servicing concerns despite healthy operating margins.

ChatGPT

Nelnet’s fundamentals show strong profitability and cash generation, with exceptionally high operating and free cash flow margins supported by a solid equity base. However, leverage is elevated and interest coverage is thin, and the sharp revenue growth did not translate into net income growth, suggesting earnings volatility or one‑offs. Wait for clearer evidence of sustainable earnings expansion and improved coverage before getting more constructive.

Why Buy Nelnet Inc. Stock? NNI Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional revenue growth of 140% YoY demonstrates strong market demand
  • + Strong operating and net margins (35.8% and 33.7%) indicate pricing power
  • + Positive free cash flow of $61.6M with low capital intensity (CapEx only $11.6M)
ChatGPT
  • + Robust free cash flow and high FCF margin
  • + Strong operating and net margins
  • + Solid equity base with mid‑teens ROE

NNI Stock Risks: Nelnet Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical interest coverage ratio of 0.4x suggests inability to cover debt obligations from operating income
  • ! Net income flat YoY (0.0%) despite 140% revenue growth indicates profitability deterioration and cost control issues
  • ! Abysmal returns on equity (1.9%) and assets (0.5%) despite 2.06x leverage indicate inefficient capital deployment
  • ! High debt-to-equity ratio of 2.06x combined with weak interest coverage signals financial stress
ChatGPT
  • ! Elevated leverage (Debt/Equity 2.11x)
  • ! Weak interest coverage (2.5x) limiting resilience
  • ! Revenue surge not translating to EPS/net income growth

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio trajectory and debt servicing capacity
  • * Return on equity and return on assets trends
  • * Net income growth acceleration to match revenue growth
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability given leverage profile
ChatGPT
  • * Interest coverage trend
  • * Net income growth vs. revenue growth

Nelnet Inc. (NNI) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$211.2M
Net Income
$71.1M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.97
Free Cash Flow
$61.6M
Total Assets
$14.2B
Cash Position
$240.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 29.1% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

NNI Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 35.8%
Net Margin 33.7%
ROE 1.9%
ROA 0.5%
FCF Margin 29.1%

NNI vs Finance Sector: How Nelnet Inc. Compares

How Nelnet Inc. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
NNI 33.7%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
NNI Sector
ROE
NNI 1.9%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
NNI Sector
Current Ratio
NNI 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
NNI Sector
Debt/Equity
NNI 2.1x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
NNI Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Nelnet Inc. Stock Overvalued? NNI Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Nelnet Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
1.9%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
33.7%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
2.06x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Nelnet Inc. Balance Sheet: NNI Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
2.06x
Debt/Assets
74.6%
Interest Coverage
0.39x
Long-term Debt
$7.7B

NNI Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

NNI 5-year financial data: Year 2013: Revenue $0, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2014: Revenue $0, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2015: Revenue $0, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2016: Revenue $0, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2017: Revenue $0, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Nelnet Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $2.40 reflects profitable operations.

NNI Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
29.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NNI Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Nelnet Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2017 N/A $43.5M N/A
Q2 2017 N/A $22.5M N/A
Q1 2017 N/A $47.1M N/A
Q3 2016 N/A $48.5M N/A
Q2 2016 N/A $22.5M N/A
Q1 2016 N/A $47.1M N/A
Q3 2015 N/A $48.5M N/A
Q2 2015 N/A $69.3M N/A

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Nelnet Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$73.1M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$16.3M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$11.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$11.8M
Returned to shareholders

NNI SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Nelnet Inc. (CIK: 0001258602)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 18, 2026 8-K nni-20260514.htm View →
May 7, 2026 10-Q nni-20260331.htm View →
May 7, 2026 8-K nni-20260507.htm View →
May 4, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 30, 2026 8-K nni-20260429.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NNI

What is the AI rating for NNI?

Nelnet Inc. (NNI) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 65% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NNI's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional revenue growth of 140% YoY demonstrates strong market demand. Strong operating and net margins (35.8% and 33.7%) indicate pricing power. ChatGPT: Robust free cash flow and high FCF margin. Strong operating and net margins.

What are the risks of investing in NNI?

Claude: Critical interest coverage ratio of 0.4x suggests inability to cover debt obligations from operating income. Net income flat YoY (0.0%) despite 140% revenue growth indicates profitability deterioration and cost control issues. ChatGPT: Elevated leverage (Debt/Equity 2.11x). Weak interest coverage (2.5x) limiting resilience.

What is NNI's revenue and growth?

Nelnet Inc. reported revenue of $211.2M.

Does NNI pay dividends?

Nelnet Inc. pays dividends, with $11.8M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find NNI SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Nelnet Inc. (CIK: 0001258602) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NNI's EPS?

Nelnet Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.97.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is NNI a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Nelnet Inc. has a HOLD rating with 65% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is NNI stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NNI: ROE of 1.9% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 33.7% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy NNI stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Nelnet Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NNI's free cash flow?

Nelnet Inc.'s operating cash flow is $73.1M, with capital expenditures of $11.6M. FCF margin is 29.1%.

How does NNI compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 33.7% (avg: 25%), ROE 1.9% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

Is Nelnet Inc. carrying too much debt?

NNI has a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.06x, which is above the Finance sector average of 2x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 9, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI