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NNI Stock Analysis 2026 - NELNET INC AI Rating

NNI NYSE Personal Credit Institutions NE CIK: 0001258602
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 3, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 NNI Key Takeaways

Revenue: $851.5M
Net Margin: 50.3%
Free Cash Flow: $396.7M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 2.11x
EPS: $11.79
AI Rating: BUY with 72% confidence

Is NNI a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Nelnet demonstrates exceptional profitability with 50.3% net margins and strong cash generation (396.7M FCF), driven by 140.2% revenue growth. However, the elevated leverage (2.11x Debt/Equity) and modest interest coverage (2.5x) warrant monitoring, particularly given the capital-intensive nature of the business.

Why Buy NNI? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional revenue growth of 140.2% YoY indicating strong market demand and business expansion
  • + Outstanding profitability metrics with 56.4% operating margin and 50.3% net margin demonstrating operational efficiency
  • + Robust free cash flow generation of 396.7M with 46.6% FCF margin providing financial flexibility
  • + Strong absolute operating cash flow of 423.0M relative to capital expenditure needs

NNI Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Elevated leverage ratio of 2.11x Debt/Equity with 7.8B long-term debt against 3.7B equity raises financial risk concerns
  • ! Thin interest coverage of 2.5x leaves limited cushion for rising rates or earnings volatility in the education loan servicing sector
  • ! Moderate ROE of 11.6% and ROA of 3.0% suggest capital efficiency concerns despite high margins, potentially indicating asset-heavy operations
  • ! Significant insider activity (9 Form 4 filings in 90 days) warrants scrutiny for potential concerns or strategic changes

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio trend and debt refinancing conditions
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and capital allocation decisions
  • * Operating margin maintenance amid potential revenue normalization
  • * Return on equity improvement as business matures
  • * Debt/Equity ratio reduction and leverage management

NNI Financial Metrics

Revenue
$851.5M
Net Income
$428.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$11.79
Free Cash Flow
$396.7M
Total Assets
$14.1B
Cash Position
$296.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 46.6% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

NNI Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 56.4%
Net Margin 50.3%
ROE 11.6%
ROA 3.0%
FCF Margin 46.6%

NNI vs Default Sector

How NELNET INC compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
NNI 50.3%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
NNI Sector
ROE
NNI 11.6%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
NNI Sector
Current Ratio
NNI 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
NNI Sector
Debt/Equity
NNI 2.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
NNI Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is NNI Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, NELNET INC has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
11.6%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
50.3%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
2.11x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

NNI Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
2.11x
Debt/Assets
74.6%
Interest Coverage
2.47x
Long-term Debt
$7.8B

NNI 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

NNI 5-year financial data: Year 2013: Revenue $0, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2014: Revenue $0, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2015: Revenue $0, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2016: Revenue $0, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2017: Revenue $0, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: NELNET INC's revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $2.40 reflects profitable operations.

NNI Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
46.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NNI Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for NELNET INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2017 N/A $43.5M N/A
Q2 2017 N/A $22.5M N/A
Q1 2017 N/A $47.1M N/A
Q3 2016 N/A $48.5M N/A
Q2 2016 N/A $22.5M N/A
Q1 2016 N/A $47.1M N/A
Q3 2015 N/A $48.5M N/A
Q2 2015 N/A $69.3M N/A

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

NNI Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$423.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$69.3M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$26.2M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$43.0M
Returned to shareholders

NNI SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for NELNET INC (CIK: 0001258602)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 DEF 14A nni-20260402.htm View →
Apr 2, 2026 8-K nni-20260331.htm View →
Apr 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/fp0098105-1_4.xml View →
Mar 23, 2026 8-K nni-20260323.htm View →
Mar 13, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NNI

What is the AI rating for NNI?

NELNET INC (NNI) has an AI rating of BUY with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NNI's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional revenue growth of 140.2% YoY indicating strong market demand and business expansion. Outstanding profitability metrics with 56.4% operating margin and 50.3% net margin demonstrating operational efficiency.

What are the risks of investing in NNI?

Claude: Elevated leverage ratio of 2.11x Debt/Equity with 7.8B long-term debt against 3.7B equity raises financial risk concerns. Thin interest coverage of 2.5x leaves limited cushion for rising rates or earnings volatility in the education loan servicing sector.

What is NNI's revenue and growth?

NELNET INC reported revenue of $851.5M.

Does NNI pay dividends?

NELNET INC pays dividends, with $43.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find NNI SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for NELNET INC (CIK: 0001258602) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NNI's EPS?

NELNET INC has a diluted EPS of $11.79.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is NNI a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, NELNET INC has a BUY rating with 72% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is NNI stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NNI: ROE of 11.6% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 50.3% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy NNI stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives NELNET INC a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NNI's free cash flow?

NELNET INC's operating cash flow is $423.0M, with capital expenditures of $26.2M. FCF margin is 46.6%.

How does NNI compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 50.3% (avg: 12%), ROE 11.6% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 3, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI