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MNR Stock Analysis 2026 - MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP AI Rating

MNR NYSE Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas DE CIK: 0001980088
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 2, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 MNR Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.2B
Net Margin: 12.2%
Free Cash Flow: $507.0M
Current Ratio: 1.05x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $1.09
AI Rating: BUY with 72% confidence

Is MNR a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

MACH Natural Resources demonstrates strong operational fundamentals with robust 20.8% operating margins and exceptional 43.1% free cash flow conversion, supporting substantial debt servicing capacity. Revenue growth of 21.2% YoY indicates positive sector dynamics, though declining net income and EPS reflect commodity price pressures requiring monitoring.

Why Buy MNR? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong operating margin of 20.8% with 507M in operating cash flow generation
  • + Exceptional free cash flow margin of 43.1% indicates efficient capital conversion
  • + Robust revenue growth of 21.2% YoY demonstrating market demand and production capacity
  • + Adequate interest coverage ratio of 3.1x supports debt sustainability
  • + Minimal cash position relative to debt suggests prudent capital discipline

MNR Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Net income declined 22.8% YoY and EPS dropped 42.6% signaling earnings pressure from commodity exposure
  • ! Tight liquidity with current ratio of 1.05x and quick ratio of 0.93x below industry norms
  • ! Long-term debt of 1.1B represents significant leverage in commodity-dependent business
  • ! Missing balance sheet transparency on total liabilities and stockholders equity limits full financial assessment
  • ! Cyclical business model creates vulnerability to crude oil and natural gas price volatility

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Free cash flow generation and trend relative to commodity price movements
  • * Debt reduction progress and debt-to-EBITDA ratio improvement
  • * Operating margin sustainability amid energy price fluctuations
  • * Liquidity metrics and working capital management to ensure covenant compliance
  • * Capital expenditure levels and production growth trajectory

MNR Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.2B
Net Income
$143.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.09
Free Cash Flow
$507.0M
Total Assets
$3.8B
Cash Position
$42.6M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 43.1% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments.

MNR Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 20.8%
Net Margin 12.2%
ROE N/A
ROA 3.8%
FCF Margin 43.1%

MNR vs Energy Sector

How MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
MNR 12.2%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
MNR Sector
ROE
MNR 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
MNR Sector
Current Ratio
MNR 1.1x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
MNR Sector
Debt/Equity
MNR 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
MNR Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is MNR Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
12.2%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

MNR Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.05x
Quick Ratio
0.93x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
3.06x
Long-term Debt
$1.1B

MNR 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

MNR 5-year financial data: Year 2023: Revenue $937.4M, Net Income $138.4M, EPS $0.72. Year 2024: Revenue $969.6M, Net Income $516.8M, EPS $0.72. Year 2025: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $68.5M, EPS $0.72.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP's revenue has grown significantly by 25% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.72 reflects profitable operations.

MNR Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
43.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MNR Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $255.5M $15.9M $-0.28
Q2 2025 $240.0M $15.9M $0.42
Q1 2025 $226.8M $15.9M $0.14
Q3 2024 $175.4M $39.5M $0.70
Q2 2024 $166.9M $39.5M $0.42
Q1 2024 $192.2M $41.7M $0.44
Q3 2023 $175.4M $68.6M N/A

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

MNR Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$507.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$66.3M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends
None
No dividend program

MNR SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP (CIK: 0001980088)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 23, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 23, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 12, 2026 8-K ea0281511-8k_mach.htm View →
Mar 12, 2026 10-K mnr-20251231.htm View →
Feb 11, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MNR

What is the AI rating for MNR?

MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP (MNR) has an AI rating of BUY with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MNR's key strengths?

Claude: Strong operating margin of 20.8% with 507M in operating cash flow generation. Exceptional free cash flow margin of 43.1% indicates efficient capital conversion.

What are the risks of investing in MNR?

Claude: Net income declined 22.8% YoY and EPS dropped 42.6% signaling earnings pressure from commodity exposure. Tight liquidity with current ratio of 1.05x and quick ratio of 0.93x below industry norms.

What is MNR's revenue and growth?

MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP reported revenue of $1.2B.

Does MNR pay dividends?

MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find MNR SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP (CIK: 0001980088) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MNR's EPS?

MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP has a diluted EPS of $1.09.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MNR a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP has a BUY rating with 72% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is MNR stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MNR: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 12.2% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MNR stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MNR's free cash flow?

MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP's operating cash flow is $507.0M, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is 43.1%.

How does MNR compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin 12.2% (avg: 12%), ROE N/A (avg: 14%), current ratio 1.05 (avg: 1.3).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 2, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI