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Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

MNR NYSE Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas DE CIK: 0001980088
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 9, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
68% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
75% Conf
HOLD
62% Conf

📊 MNR Key Takeaways

Revenue: $285.9M
Net Margin: -12.3%
Free Cash Flow: $170.3M
Current Ratio: 0.83x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $-0.21
AI Rating: SELL with 75% confidence
Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) receives a SELL rating with 68% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $285.9M, net profit margin of -12.3%, Mach Natural Resources LP demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Energy sector. Below is our complete MNR stock analysis for 2026.

Is Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) a Good Investment?

Claude

Despite strong revenue growth (+21.2% YoY) and exceptional free cash flow generation (59.6% FCF margin), the company faces critical financial distress: unprofitable operations worsening YoY (-22.8% net income decline, -42.6% EPS decline), negative interest coverage indicating inability to service debt from earnings, and acute liquidity crisis with current ratio of 0.83x. The paradox of strong cash generation amid accounting losses and deteriorating profitability, combined with $1.1B debt against only $52.7M cash, creates significant solvency risk.

ChatGPT

Revenue growth and a solid operating margin support strong operating cash flow. However, declining net income/EPS, tight liquidity, and moderate leverage temper the outlook, and true FCF sustainability is unclear given missing capex data. Neutral stance until capital spending and cost structure visibility improves.

Why Buy Mach Natural Resources LP Stock? MNR Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 21.2% YoY demonstrates market demand and commodity price exposure benefit
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation of $170.3M with 59.6% FCF margin indicates robust underlying cash generation from operations
  • + Substantial asset base of $3.7B provides operational capacity and collateral value
ChatGPT
  • + Double-digit revenue growth (+21.2% YoY)
  • + Healthy operating margin (~20.8%)
  • + Strong operating cash flow with high reported FCF margin

MNR Stock Risks: Mach Natural Resources LP Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Acute liquidity crisis with current ratio of 0.83x and quick ratio of 0.73x; unable to cover short-term obligations
  • ! Negative interest coverage (-0.1x) with $1.1B debt: company cannot service debt obligations from operating earnings
  • ! Deteriorating profitability worsening YoY: net income down 22.8%, diluted EPS down 42.6%, with negative operating margin of -3.4%
ChatGPT
  • ! Earnings pressure (NI -22.8%, EPS -42.6% YoY)
  • ! Tight liquidity and moderate leverage with limited coverage (~3.1x)
  • ! Capex and reserve replacement uncertainty may impair sustainable FCF

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability and conversion to free cash flow
  • * Current ratio and working capital dynamics; debt covenant compliance status
  • * Path to operating profitability; interest expense coverage from operational earnings
ChatGPT
  • * Sustaining/growth capex vs operating cash flow (true FCF)
  • * Interest coverage and net debt trajectory

Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$285.9M
Net Income
$-35.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.21
Free Cash Flow
$170.3M
Total Assets
$3.7B
Cash Position
$52.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 59.6% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

MNR Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -3.4%
Net Margin -12.3%
ROE N/A
ROA -0.9%
FCF Margin 59.6%

MNR vs Energy Sector: How Mach Natural Resources LP Compares

How Mach Natural Resources LP compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
MNR -12.3%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
MNR Sector
ROE
MNR 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
MNR Sector
Current Ratio
MNR 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
MNR Sector
Debt/Equity
MNR 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
MNR Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Mach Natural Resources LP Stock Overvalued? MNR Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Mach Natural Resources LP has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
-12.3%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Mach Natural Resources LP Balance Sheet: MNR Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.83x
Quick Ratio
0.73x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
-0.12x
Long-term Debt
$1.1B

MNR Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

MNR 5-year financial data: Year 2023: Revenue $937.4M, Net Income $138.4M, EPS $0.72. Year 2024: Revenue $969.6M, Net Income $516.8M, EPS $0.72. Year 2025: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $68.5M, EPS $0.72.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Mach Natural Resources LP's revenue has grown significantly by 25% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.72 reflects profitable operations.

MNR Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
59.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MNR Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Mach Natural Resources LP including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $226.8M $15.9M $0.14
Q3 2025 $255.5M $15.9M $-0.28
Q2 2025 $240.0M $15.9M $0.42
Q1 2025 $226.8M $15.9M $0.14
Q3 2024 $175.4M $39.5M $0.70
Q2 2024 $166.9M $39.5M $0.42
Q1 2024 $192.2M $41.7M $0.44
Q3 2023 $175.4M $68.6M N/A

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Mach Natural Resources LP Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$170.3M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$66.3M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends
None
No dividend program

MNR SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Mach Natural Resources LP (CIK: 0001980088)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 7, 2026 8-K ea0289730-8k_mach.htm View →
May 7, 2026 10-Q mnr-20260331.htm View →
Apr 13, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Apr 10, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2611574-1_4seq1.xml View →
Apr 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/primary_doc.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MNR

What is the AI rating for MNR?

Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 68% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MNR's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 21.2% YoY demonstrates market demand and commodity price exposure benefit. Exceptional free cash flow generation of $170.3M with 59.6% FCF margin indicates robust underlying cash generation from operations. ChatGPT: Double-digit revenue growth (+21.2% YoY). Healthy operating margin (~20.8%).

What are the risks of investing in MNR?

Claude: Acute liquidity crisis with current ratio of 0.83x and quick ratio of 0.73x; unable to cover short-term obligations. Negative interest coverage (-0.1x) with $1.1B debt: company cannot service debt obligations from operating earnings. ChatGPT: Earnings pressure (NI -22.8%, EPS -42.6% YoY). Tight liquidity and moderate leverage with limited coverage (~3.1x).

What is MNR's revenue and growth?

Mach Natural Resources LP reported revenue of $285.9M.

Does MNR pay dividends?

Mach Natural Resources LP does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find MNR SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Mach Natural Resources LP (CIK: 0001980088) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MNR's EPS?

Mach Natural Resources LP has a diluted EPS of $-0.21.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MNR a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Mach Natural Resources LP has a SELL rating with 68% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is MNR stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MNR: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 14%), net margin of -12.3% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MNR stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Mach Natural Resources LP a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MNR's free cash flow?

Mach Natural Resources LP's operating cash flow is $170.3M, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is 59.6%.

How does MNR compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin -12.3% (avg: 12%), ROE N/A (avg: 14%), current ratio 0.83 (avg: 1.3).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 9, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI