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Mistras Group, Inc. (MG) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

MG NYSE Services-Engineering Services DE CIK: 0001436126
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
80% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
82% Conf
HOLD
77% Conf

📊 MG Key Takeaways

Revenue: $169.0M
Net Margin: 1.4%
Free Cash Flow: $-3.2M
Current Ratio: 1.81x
Debt/Equity: 0.78x
EPS: $0.07
AI Rating: SELL with 82% confidence
Mistras Group, Inc. (MG) receives a SELL rating with 80% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $169.0M, net profit margin of 1.4%, and return on equity (ROE) of 1.0%, Mistras Group, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Services sector. Below is our complete MG stock analysis for 2026.

Is Mistras Group, Inc. (MG) a Good Investment?

Claude

Mistras Group exhibits critical financial distress with interest coverage of only 1.1x, leaving minimal buffer to service $181.4M in long-term debt. Negative free cash flow (-$3.2M) despite positive operating cash flow indicates the company is not self-sustaining, while profitability is deteriorating faster than revenue contraction (net income down 10.8% YoY vs. revenue down 0.8% YoY). Razor-thin operating margins of 2.8% and net margins of 1.4% provide insufficient cushion against further operational headwinds.

ChatGPT

Mistras Group shows stable but low-quality profitability, with modest operating margins, flat revenue, and essentially unchanged net income despite a tougher EPS comparison. The balance sheet is serviceable with solid liquidity and manageable interest coverage, but weak free cash flow generation and limited top-line growth constrain the fundamental outlook.

Why Buy Mistras Group, Inc. Stock? MG Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Adequate short-term liquidity with current ratio of 1.81x and quick ratio of 1.67x
  • + Reasonable gross margin of 26.5% indicating product-level pricing power
  • + Moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78x provides some structural stability
ChatGPT
  • + Solid liquidity profile with 1.74x current ratio and 1.63x quick ratio
  • + Manageable leverage with debt/equity of 0.76x and interest coverage of 9.2x
  • + Positive operating income and cash from operations support financial stability

MG Stock Risks: Mistras Group, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critically low interest coverage of 1.1x creates imminent debt service risk with minimal margin for error
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$3.2M indicates company is cash flow negative and unable to internally fund operations or debt service
  • ! Profitability declining faster than revenue (net income -10.8% YoY vs. revenue -0.8% YoY) signals operational deterioration and cost control issues
  • ! Extremely thin operating margins of 2.8% and net margins of 1.4% leave almost no buffer for business disruption
  • ! Long-term debt of $181.4M is substantial relative to weak cash generation and declining earnings
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue declined 0.8% year over year, indicating weak growth momentum
  • ! Net margin of 2.3% and FCF margin of 1.1% leave little room for execution mistakes
  • ! Diluted EPS fell 11.7% year over year, suggesting pressure from costs, financing, or share count dynamics

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio - any decline below 1.1x would signal imminent default risk
  • * Free cash flow - must return to positive territory for sustainability
  • * Operating margin trend - stabilization required to prevent further margin compression
  • * Long-term debt levels and refinancing obligations - monitor for covenant compliance issues
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow conversion from operating cash flow
  • * Operating margin trend versus revenue growth

Mistras Group, Inc. (MG) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$169.0M
Net Income
$2.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.07
Free Cash Flow
$-3.2M
Total Assets
$572.7M
Cash Position
$25.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Mistras Group, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

MG Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 26.5%
Operating Margin 2.8%
Net Margin 1.4%
ROE 1.0%
ROA 0.4%
FCF Margin -1.9%

MG vs Services Sector: How Mistras Group, Inc. Compares

How Mistras Group, Inc. compares to Services sector averages

Net Margin
MG 1.4%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
MG Sector
ROE
MG 1.0%
vs
Sector Avg 16.0%
MG Sector
Current Ratio
MG 1.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
MG Sector
Debt/Equity
MG 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
MG Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Mistras Group, Inc. Stock Overvalued? MG Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Mistras Group, Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Services sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
1.0%
Sector avg: 16%
Net Profit Margin
1.4%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.78x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Mistras Group, Inc. Balance Sheet: MG Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.81x
Quick Ratio
1.67x
Debt/Equity
0.78x
Debt/Assets
59.2%
Interest Coverage
1.06x
Long-term Debt
$181.4M

MG Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

MG 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $748.6M, Net Income -$5.3M, EPS $0.21. Year 2022: Revenue $687.4M, Net Income -$98.5M, EPS $-3.41. Year 2023: Revenue $705.5M, Net Income -$5.4M, EPS N/A. Year 2024: Revenue $729.6M, Net Income $6.5M, EPS N/A. Year 2025: Revenue $729.6M, Net Income -$17.5M, EPS $-0.58.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Mistras Group, Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 3% decline. The most recent EPS of $-0.58 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

MG Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-1.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MG Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Mistras Group, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $161.6M $2.4M $0.07
Q3 2025 $182.7M $6.4M $0.20
Q2 2025 $185.4M -$169.0K $0.00
Q1 2025 $161.6M $995.0K $0.03
Q3 2024 $179.4M $6.4M N/A
Q2 2024 $176.0M $337.0K N/A
Q1 2024 $168.0M $995.0K $0.03
Q3 2023 $178.5M $3.7M N/A

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Mistras Group, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$2.8M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$6.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

MG SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Mistras Group, Inc. (CIK: 0001436126)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 7, 2026 10-Q mg-20260331.htm View →
May 5, 2026 8-K mg-20260505.htm View →
Apr 7, 2026 DEF 14A ny20063324x1_def14a.htm View →
Mar 26, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Mar 23, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MG

What is the AI rating for MG?

Mistras Group, Inc. (MG) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 80% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MG's key strengths?

Claude: Adequate short-term liquidity with current ratio of 1.81x and quick ratio of 1.67x. Reasonable gross margin of 26.5% indicating product-level pricing power. ChatGPT: Solid liquidity profile with 1.74x current ratio and 1.63x quick ratio. Manageable leverage with debt/equity of 0.76x and interest coverage of 9.2x.

What are the risks of investing in MG?

Claude: Critically low interest coverage of 1.1x creates imminent debt service risk with minimal margin for error. Negative free cash flow of -$3.2M indicates company is cash flow negative and unable to internally fund operations or debt service. ChatGPT: Revenue declined 0.8% year over year, indicating weak growth momentum. Net margin of 2.3% and FCF margin of 1.1% leave little room for execution mistakes.

What is MG's revenue and growth?

Mistras Group, Inc. reported revenue of $169.0M.

Does MG pay dividends?

Mistras Group, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find MG SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Mistras Group, Inc. (CIK: 0001436126) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MG's EPS?

Mistras Group, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.07.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MG a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Mistras Group, Inc. has a SELL rating with 80% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is MG stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MG: ROE of 1.0% (sector avg: 16%), net margin of 1.4% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MG stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Mistras Group, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MG's free cash flow?

Mistras Group, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $2.8M, with capital expenditures of $6.0M. FCF margin is -1.9%.

How does MG compare to other Services stocks?

Vs Services sector averages: Net margin 1.4% (avg: 10%), ROE 1.0% (avg: 16%), current ratio 1.81 (avg: 1.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI