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MEC Stock Analysis 2026 - Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. AI Rating

MEC NYSE Metal Forgings & Stampings CIK: 0001766368
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 1, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
75% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 MEC Key Takeaways

Revenue: $546.5M
Net Margin: -1.5%
Free Cash Flow: $26.9M
Current Ratio: 1.72x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $-0.40
AI Rating: SELL with 75% confidence

Is MEC a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Mayville Engineering faces significant operational challenges with negative net income of $8.1M and declining revenue (-6.0% YoY) in a cyclical manufacturing sector. While positive operating cash flow of $38.6M and adequate liquidity (1.72x current ratio) provide near-term stability, the company's persistent unprofitability (-1.5% net margin, -3.4% ROE) and negative interest coverage (-1.1x) indicate structural profitability issues that require operational improvement. The deteriorating EPS trend (-132.3% YoY) and minimal cash reserves ($1.5M) relative to assets create vulnerability to further revenue contractions or capital needs.

Why Buy MEC? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $38.6M demonstrates underlying business can generate cash despite accounting losses
  • + Adequate liquidity position with 1.72x current ratio and manageable debt structure (0.00x Debt/Equity ratio)
  • + Free cash flow of $26.9M (4.9% FCF margin) provides cushion for operations and capital allocation

MEC Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Revenue declining 6.0% YoY in cyclical metal forgings sector indicates loss of market share or industry headwinds
  • ! Persistent unprofitability with negative operating margin (-0.7%), net margin (-1.5%), and negative ROE (-3.4%) suggests structural cost issues
  • ! Critically low cash position ($1.5M) relative to $563.6M asset base creates refinancing risk and limits financial flexibility
  • ! Negative interest coverage ratio (-1.1x) signals inability to cover debt service from operating earnings
  • ! Deteriorating EPS (-132.3% YoY decline) indicates worsening shareholder value destruction

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue trend reversal - monitor next 2-3 quarters for stabilization or continued decline
  • * Operating margin improvement - path to profitability requires cost restructuring or price increases
  • * Cash position and operating cash flow sustainability - ensure OCF remains positive as financial buffer
  • * Debt levels and refinancing needs - track any new borrowing given thin equity cushion
  • * Gross margin and cost of goods sold trends - identify where operational leverage is being lost

MEC Financial Metrics

Revenue
$546.5M
Net Income
$-8.1M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.40
Free Cash Flow
$26.9M
Total Assets
$563.6M
Cash Position
$1.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 4.9% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

MEC Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -0.7%
Net Margin -1.5%
ROE -3.4%
ROA -1.4%
FCF Margin 4.9%

MEC vs Default Sector

How Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
MEC -1.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
MEC Sector
ROE
MEC -3.4%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
MEC Sector
Current Ratio
MEC 1.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
MEC Sector
Debt/Equity
MEC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
MEC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is MEC Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-3.4%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-1.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

MEC Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.72x
Quick Ratio
0.92x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
57.3%
Interest Coverage
-1.15x
Long-term Debt
N/A

MEC 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

MEC 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $519.7M, Net Income -$4.8M, EPS $-0.27. Year 2022: Revenue $539.4M, Net Income -$7.1M, EPS $-0.36. Year 2023: Revenue $588.4M, Net Income -$7.5M, EPS $-0.36. Year 2024: Revenue $588.4M, Net Income $18.7M, EPS $0.91. Year 2025: Revenue $588.4M, Net Income $7.8M, EPS $0.38.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Mayville Engineering Company, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 13% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.38 reflects profitable operations.

MEC Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
4.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MEC Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $135.4M $20.0K $-0.13
Q2 2025 $132.3M $20.0K $-0.05
Q1 2025 $135.6M $20.0K $0.00
Q3 2024 $135.4M $1.4M $0.07
Q2 2024 $139.0M $1.6M $0.08
Q1 2024 $142.6M $2.6M $0.12
Q3 2023 $136.3M $1.4M $0.07
Q2 2023 $138.3M $1.6M $0.08

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

MEC Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$38.6M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$4.6M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$11.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

MEC SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. (CIK: 0001766368)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MEC

What is the AI rating for MEC?

Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. (MEC) has an AI rating of SELL with 75% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MEC's key strengths?

Claude: Positive operating cash flow of $38.6M demonstrates underlying business can generate cash despite accounting losses. Adequate liquidity position with 1.72x current ratio and manageable debt structure (0.00x Debt/Equity ratio).

What are the risks of investing in MEC?

Claude: Revenue declining 6.0% YoY in cyclical metal forgings sector indicates loss of market share or industry headwinds. Persistent unprofitability with negative operating margin (-0.7%), net margin (-1.5%), and negative ROE (-3.4%) suggests structural cost issues.

What is MEC's revenue and growth?

Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. reported revenue of $546.5M.

Does MEC pay dividends?

Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find MEC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. (CIK: 0001766368) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MEC's EPS?

Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.40.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MEC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. has a SELL rating with 75% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is MEC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MEC: ROE of -3.4% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -1.5% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MEC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MEC's free cash flow?

Mayville Engineering Company, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $38.6M, with capital expenditures of $11.6M. FCF margin is 4.9%.

How does MEC compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin -1.5% (avg: 12%), ROE -3.4% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.72 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 1, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI