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MCRI Stock Analysis 2026 - MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC AI Rating

MCRI Nasdaq Hotels & Motels NV CIK: 0000907242
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 1, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
78% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 MCRI Key Takeaways

Revenue: $545.1M
Net Margin: 18.6%
Free Cash Flow: $128.4M
Current Ratio: 0.86x
Debt/Equity: 0.01x
EPS: $5.43
AI Rating: BUY with 78% confidence

Is MCRI a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

MCRI demonstrates strong operational efficiency with healthy 18.6% net margins and excellent cash generation (128.4M FCF), supported by solid revenue growth of 4.4% YoY and impressive 18.9% ROE. The company maintains an exceptionally strong balance sheet with minimal leverage (0.01x debt/equity) and substantial cash reserves, providing financial flexibility and downside protection.

Why Buy MCRI? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional financial leverage with near-zero debt (0.01x D/E) and only 5.5M long-term debt against 537.7M equity
  • + Outstanding cash generation with 128.4M FCF and 23.6% FCF margin demonstrating operational excellence
  • + Strong profitability metrics: 18.6% net margin, 23.7% operating margin, and 18.9% ROE indicating efficient capital deployment
  • + Robust interest coverage ratio of 731.3x reflecting virtually no refinancing risk
  • + Consistent profitability with positive net income growth despite modest revenue increases

MCRI Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Liquidity concerns with current ratio of 0.86x and quick ratio of 0.80x both below 1.0x, indicating potential short-term payment challenges
  • ! Slowing growth momentum with only 4.4% YoY revenue growth and flat net income growth despite strong FCF
  • ! Capital intensity business requiring 36.3M annual capex (6.7% of revenue) to maintain competitive position
  • ! Sector exposure to discretionary consumer spending and tourism cycles that are economically sensitive
  • ! Modest EPS growth of 41.4% YoY may not be sustainable; appears driven by share count reduction rather than operational growth

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth trajectory and casino visitor volumes relative to industry benchmarks
  • * Current ratio improvement and working capital management to address liquidity ratios
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and capital allocation decisions (dividends vs debt reduction vs reinvestment)
  • * Operating margin stability amid labor cost inflation in hospitality sector
  • * Capex efficiency and ROI on property improvements and renovations

MCRI Financial Metrics

Revenue
$545.1M
Net Income
$101.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$5.43
Free Cash Flow
$128.4M
Total Assets
$712.8M
Cash Position
$96.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 23.6% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

MCRI Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 23.4%
Operating Margin 23.7%
Net Margin 18.6%
ROE 18.9%
ROA 14.2%
FCF Margin 23.6%

MCRI vs Default Sector

How MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
MCRI 18.6%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
MCRI Sector
ROE
MCRI 18.9%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
MCRI Sector
Current Ratio
MCRI 0.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
MCRI Sector
Debt/Equity
MCRI 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
MCRI Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is MCRI Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC appears fundamentally strong relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
18.9%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
18.6%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.01x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

MCRI Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.86x
Quick Ratio
0.80x
Debt/Equity
0.01x
Debt/Assets
24.6%
Interest Coverage
731.25x
Long-term Debt
$5.5M

MCRI 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

MCRI 5-year financial data: Year 2019: Revenue $279.3M, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2022: Revenue $477.9M, Net Income $23.7M, EPS $1.25. Year 2023: Revenue $501.5M, Net Income $68.5M, EPS $3.53. Year 2024: Revenue $522.2M, Net Income $87.5M, EPS $4.47. Year 2025: Revenue $545.1M, Net Income $82.4M, EPS $4.20.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC's revenue has grown significantly by 95% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $4.20 reflects profitable operations.

MCRI Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
23.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MCRI Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $137.9M $18.3M $1.47
Q2 2025 $128.1M $18.3M $1.19
Q1 2025 $121.7M $18.3M $0.93
Q3 2024 $133.0M $17.7M $1.23
Q2 2024 $123.7M $17.7M $1.14
Q1 2024 $116.6M $17.7M $0.90
Q3 2023 $133.0M $17.7M $1.23
Q2 2023 $115.3M $17.7M $0.99

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

MCRI Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$164.7M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$72.7M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$36.3M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$21.9M
Returned to shareholders

MCRI SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC (CIK: 0000907242)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 25, 2026 4 xslF345X06/primary_doc.xml View →
Feb 24, 2026 10-K mcri-20251231x10k.htm View →
Feb 12, 2026 4 xslF345X05/primary_doc.xml View →
Feb 4, 2026 8-K f8k_020426.htm View →
Jan 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/primary_doc.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MCRI

What is the AI rating for MCRI?

MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC (MCRI) has an AI rating of BUY with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MCRI's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional financial leverage with near-zero debt (0.01x D/E) and only 5.5M long-term debt against 537.7M equity. Outstanding cash generation with 128.4M FCF and 23.6% FCF margin demonstrating operational excellence.

What are the risks of investing in MCRI?

Claude: Liquidity concerns with current ratio of 0.86x and quick ratio of 0.80x both below 1.0x, indicating potential short-term payment challenges. Slowing growth momentum with only 4.4% YoY revenue growth and flat net income growth despite strong FCF.

What is MCRI's revenue and growth?

MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC reported revenue of $545.1M.

Does MCRI pay dividends?

MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC pays dividends, with $21.9M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MCRI SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC (CIK: 0000907242) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MCRI's EPS?

MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC has a diluted EPS of $5.43.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MCRI a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC has a BUY rating with 78% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is MCRI stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MCRI: ROE of 18.9% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 18.6% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy MCRI stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MCRI's free cash flow?

MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC's operating cash flow is $164.7M, with capital expenditures of $36.3M. FCF margin is 23.6%.

How does MCRI compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 18.6% (avg: 12%), ROE 18.9% (avg: 15%), current ratio 0.86 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 1, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI