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ITRI Stock Analysis 2026 - ITRON, INC. AI Rating

ITRI Nasdaq Instruments For Meas & Testing of Electricity & Elec Signals WA CIK: 0000780571
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 29, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
78% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 ITRI Key Takeaways

Revenue: $2.4B
Net Margin: 12.7%
Free Cash Flow: $383.1M
Current Ratio: 1.80x
Debt/Equity: 0.74x
EPS: $6.50
AI Rating: BUY with 78% confidence

Is ITRI a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Itron demonstrates solid operational profitability with a 13.2% operating margin and exceptional cash generation (FCF of $383.1M representing 16.2% of revenue), though revenue declined 3% YoY indicating market headwinds. Strong balance sheet metrics (1.8x current ratio, 0.74x debt/equity, 32x interest coverage) and robust returns on equity (17.5%) position the company to weather near-term challenges and capitalize on recovery opportunities.

Why Buy ITRI? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation at $383.1M with 16.2% FCF margin demonstrating strong capital efficiency
  • + Healthy balance sheet with $1.0B cash, conservative 0.74x debt/equity ratio, and 32x interest coverage indicating low financial distress risk
  • + Solid profitability metrics with 37.7% gross margin, 13.2% operating margin, and 12.7% net margin providing operational leverage
  • + Strong returns metrics with 17.5% ROE and 8.1% ROA showing effective capital deployment despite revenue decline

ITRI Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Revenue decline of 3% YoY suggests demand weakness or market share loss in core electricity measurement products requiring investigation
  • ! Net income essentially flat YoY despite positive EPS growth driven by share count reduction, masking potential operational challenges
  • ! High insider trading activity (42 Form 4 filings in 90 days) warrants monitoring for potential information asymmetry or confidence concerns
  • ! Debt burden of $1.3B represents substantial obligation; ability to service requires sustained cash flow generation

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue trend reversal and organic growth acceleration in coming quarters
  • * Operating margin stability and gross margin sustainability amid competitive pressures
  • * Free cash flow consistency and capital allocation priorities (debt reduction vs. growth investment)
  • * Customer concentration and order book trends in utility meter and grid modernization end markets

ITRI Financial Metrics

Revenue
$2.4B
Net Income
$301.1M
EPS (Diluted)
$6.50
Free Cash Flow
$383.1M
Total Assets
$3.7B
Cash Position
$1.0B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

ITRON, INC. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

ITRI Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 37.7%
Operating Margin 13.2%
Net Margin 12.7%
ROE 17.5%
ROA 8.1%
FCF Margin 16.2%

ITRI vs Default Sector

How ITRON, INC. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
ITRI 12.7%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
ITRI Sector
ROE
ITRI 17.5%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
ITRI Sector
Current Ratio
ITRI 1.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
ITRI Sector
Debt/Equity
ITRI 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
ITRI Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is ITRI Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, ITRON, INC. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
17.5%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
12.7%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.74x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

ITRI Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.80x
Quick Ratio
1.56x
Debt/Equity
0.74x
Debt/Assets
53.3%
Interest Coverage
31.98x
Long-term Debt
$1.3B

ITRI 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

ITRI 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.5B, Net Income $49.0M, EPS $1.23. Year 2022: Revenue $2.2B, Net Income -$58.0M, EPS $-1.44. Year 2023: Revenue $2.2B, Net Income -$81.3M, EPS $-1.83. Year 2024: Revenue $2.4B, Net Income -$9.7M, EPS $-0.22. Year 2025: Revenue $2.4B, Net Income $96.9M, EPS $2.11.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: ITRON, INC.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 2% decline. The most recent EPS of $2.11 reflects profitable operations.

ITRI Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
16.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ITRI Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for ITRON, INC. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $581.6M $65.6M $1.41
Q2 2025 $606.8M $51.3M $1.10
Q1 2025 $603.4M $51.7M $1.12
Q3 2024 $560.8M $40.2M $0.87
Q2 2024 $541.1M $12.4M $0.27
Q1 2024 $494.6M -$11.8M $-0.26
Q3 2023 $420.9M $4.1M $0.09
Q2 2023 $431.9M $12.4M $0.27

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

ITRI Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$406.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$100.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$22.9M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

ITRI SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for ITRON, INC. (CIK: 0000780571)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 23, 2026 DEF 14A ny20057844x1_def14a.htm View →
Mar 2, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Feb 27, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Feb 26, 2026 8-K d925789d8k.htm View →
Feb 26, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ITRI

What is the AI rating for ITRI?

ITRON, INC. (ITRI) has an AI rating of BUY with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ITRI's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation at $383.1M with 16.2% FCF margin demonstrating strong capital efficiency. Healthy balance sheet with $1.0B cash, conservative 0.74x debt/equity ratio, and 32x interest coverage indicating low financial distress risk.

What are the risks of investing in ITRI?

Claude: Revenue decline of 3% YoY suggests demand weakness or market share loss in core electricity measurement products requiring investigation. Net income essentially flat YoY despite positive EPS growth driven by share count reduction, masking potential operational challenges.

What is ITRI's revenue and growth?

ITRON, INC. reported revenue of $2.4B.

Does ITRI pay dividends?

ITRON, INC. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find ITRI SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for ITRON, INC. (CIK: 0000780571) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ITRI's EPS?

ITRON, INC. has a diluted EPS of $6.50.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is ITRI a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, ITRON, INC. has a BUY rating with 78% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is ITRI stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ITRI: ROE of 17.5% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 12.7% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy ITRI stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives ITRON, INC. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ITRI's free cash flow?

ITRON, INC.'s operating cash flow is $406.0M, with capital expenditures of $22.9M. FCF margin is 16.2%.

How does ITRI compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 12.7% (avg: 12%), ROE 17.5% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.80 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 29, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI