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GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

GCMG Nasdaq Investment Advice DE CIK: 0001819796
Recently Updated • Analysis: May 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
74% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
68% Conf
HOLD
81% Conf

📊 GCMG Key Takeaways

Revenue: $124.8M
Net Margin: 4.4%
Free Cash Flow: $47.9M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 14.24x
EPS: $0.06
AI Rating: HOLD with 68% confidence
GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) receives a HOLD rating with 74% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $124.8M, net profit margin of 4.4%, and return on equity (ROE) of 21.4%, GCM Grosvenor Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete GCMG stock analysis for 2026.

Is GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) a Good Investment?

Claude

GCM Grosvenor demonstrates strong free cash flow generation (38.4% FCF margin) and positive revenue growth, but is saddled with extreme leverage (14.24x Debt/Equity) that creates material financial risk. The 68% net income collapse despite 8.5% revenue growth signals margin compression or significant charges that warrant investigation before committing capital.

ChatGPT

GCM Grosvenor shows solid core fundamentals through healthy revenue growth, strong operating margins, and excellent cash generation, with free cash flow materially outpacing net income. However, the balance sheet is a clear constraint: very high leverage and an extremely thin equity base make the reported ROE less meaningful and elevate financial risk despite strong interest coverage.

Why Buy GCM Grosvenor Inc. Stock? GCMG Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation at $47.9M with 38.4% FCF margin, indicating strong underlying business cash generation
  • + Solid operating margin of 16.4% demonstrates reasonable operational efficiency in core advisory business
  • + Positive revenue growth of 8.5% YoY and healthy cash reserves of $164.4M provide liquidity cushion
ChatGPT
  • + Strong free cash flow generation with a 31.4% FCF margin
  • + Solid operating profitability with 23.9% operating margin and strong interest coverage
  • + Revenue growth of 8.5% indicates continuing business momentum

GCMG Stock Risks: GCM Grosvenor Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Extreme leverage ratio of 14.24x Debt/Equity with $362.9M long-term debt relative to only $25.5M equity base creates acute financial distress risk
  • ! Net income declined 68.1% YoY despite revenue growth, indicating severe margin compression or material charges that erode profitability
  • ! Low interest coverage ratio of 3.5x combined with rising rate environment threatens debt servicing capacity; minimal ROA of 0.8% shows poor asset efficiency
ChatGPT
  • ! Very high leverage with debt-to-equity of 15.87x
  • ! Equity base is extremely small relative to assets and liabilities, which amplifies balance-sheet risk
  • ! Net income was essentially flat year over year, suggesting profit growth is lagging revenue and cash flow growth

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net income trend and margin drivers (investigate 68% decline root cause)
  • * Debt-to-Equity ratio movement (critical to monitor given 14.24x current level)
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and interest coverage ratio under various interest rate scenarios
ChatGPT
  • * Debt reduction and changes in stockholders' equity
  • * Sustained net income growth relative to revenue and free cash flow

GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$124.8M
Net Income
$5.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.06
Free Cash Flow
$47.9M
Total Assets
$688.8M
Cash Position
$164.4M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 38.4% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

GCMG Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 16.4%
Net Margin 4.4%
ROE 21.4%
ROA 0.8%
FCF Margin 38.4%

GCMG vs Market Sector: How GCM Grosvenor Inc. Compares

How GCM Grosvenor Inc. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
GCMG 4.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
GCMG Sector
ROE
GCMG 21.4%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
GCMG Sector
Current Ratio
GCMG 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
GCMG Sector
Debt/Equity
GCMG 14.2x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
GCMG Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is GCM Grosvenor Inc. Stock Overvalued? GCMG Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, GCM Grosvenor Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
21.4%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
4.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
14.24x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

GCM Grosvenor Inc. Balance Sheet: GCMG Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
14.24x
Debt/Assets
82.2%
Interest Coverage
3.46x
Long-term Debt
$362.9M

GCMG Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

GCMG 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $531.6M, Net Income $0, EPS $0.00. Year 2022: Revenue $531.6M, Net Income $4.0M, EPS $-0.58. Year 2023: Revenue $531.6M, Net Income $21.5M, EPS $0.28. Year 2024: Revenue $514.0M, Net Income $19.8M, EPS $0.28. Year 2025: Revenue $557.6M, Net Income $12.8M, EPS $-0.28.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: GCM Grosvenor Inc.'s revenue has shown modest growth of 5% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $-0.28 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

GCMG Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
38.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

GCMG Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for GCM Grosvenor Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $124.8M $463.0K $-0.02
Q3 2025 $122.9M $4.2M $0.03
Q2 2025 $117.0M $4.8M $0.04
Q1 2025 $108.9M $463.0K $-0.02
Q3 2024 $121.7M $4.2M $0.03
Q2 2024 $107.6M $3.6M $0.04
Q1 2024 $99.1M -$1.2M $-0.10
Q3 2023 $121.7M $3.1M $0.02

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

GCM Grosvenor Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$51.7M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$17.5M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$3.8M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

GCMG SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for GCM Grosvenor Inc. (CIK: 0001819796)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 7, 2026 10-Q gcm-20260331.htm View →
May 7, 2026 8-K gcm-20260507.htm View →
Apr 24, 2026 DEF 14A ny20063684x1_def14a.htm View →
Apr 17, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1776461062.xml View →
Apr 17, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1776461043.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about GCMG

What is the AI rating for GCMG?

GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 74% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are GCMG's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation at $47.9M with 38.4% FCF margin, indicating strong underlying business cash generation. Solid operating margin of 16.4% demonstrates reasonable operational efficiency in core advisory business. ChatGPT: Strong free cash flow generation with a 31.4% FCF margin. Solid operating profitability with 23.9% operating margin and strong interest coverage.

What are the risks of investing in GCMG?

Claude: Extreme leverage ratio of 14.24x Debt/Equity with $362.9M long-term debt relative to only $25.5M equity base creates acute financial distress risk. Net income declined 68.1% YoY despite revenue growth, indicating severe margin compression or material charges that erode profitability. ChatGPT: Very high leverage with debt-to-equity of 15.87x. Equity base is extremely small relative to assets and liabilities, which amplifies balance-sheet risk.

What is GCMG's revenue and growth?

GCM Grosvenor Inc. reported revenue of $124.8M.

Does GCMG pay dividends?

GCM Grosvenor Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find GCMG SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for GCM Grosvenor Inc. (CIK: 0001819796) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is GCMG's EPS?

GCM Grosvenor Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.06.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is GCMG a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, GCM Grosvenor Inc. has a HOLD rating with 74% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is GCMG stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for GCMG: ROE of 21.4% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 4.4% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy GCMG stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives GCM Grosvenor Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is GCMG's free cash flow?

GCM Grosvenor Inc.'s operating cash flow is $51.7M, with capital expenditures of $3.8M. FCF margin is 38.4%.

How does GCMG compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 4.4% (avg: 12%), ROE 21.4% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Is GCM Grosvenor Inc. carrying too much debt?

GCMG has a debt-to-equity ratio of 14.24x, which is above the Market sector average of 0.7x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI