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FLDDW Stock Analysis 2026 - Fold Holdings, Inc. AI Rating

FLDDW Nasdaq Finance Services DE CIK: 0001889123
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 25, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
STRONG SELL
92% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 FLDDW Key Takeaways

Revenue: $31.8M
Net Margin: -218.9%
Free Cash Flow: $-16.1M
Current Ratio: 0.86x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $-1.65
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 92% confidence

Is FLDDW a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Fold Holdings is a deeply unprofitable financial services company burning cash at an unsustainable rate with operating losses exceeding revenue by 3x. Despite 34% revenue growth, the company is consuming cash operationally, deteriorating its financial position with a sub-1.0x current ratio and minimal liquidity cushion of only $7.7M against $90.5M in liabilities. The negative free cash flow of -$16.1M combined with persistent operating losses presents an existential solvency risk requiring immediate capital infusion or dramatic operational restructuring.

Why Buy FLDDW? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 33.9% year-over-year indicating market demand
  • + Positive stockholders' equity of $63.0M providing some balance sheet cushion
  • + No long-term debt burden reducing leverage risk

FLDDW Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Operating losses of -$69.6M with -218.9% operating margin indicating severe business model dysfunction
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$16.1M annually with only $7.7M cash remaining, suggesting liquidity crisis within 6-12 months
  • ! Current ratio of 0.86x indicates inability to cover short-term obligations, creating immediate solvency concerns
  • ! Negative ROE of -110.5% and ROA of -45.3% showing value destruction at alarming rates
  • ! Elevated insider trading activity (13 Form 4 filings in 90 days) suggesting potential distressed selling

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly cash burn rate and path to cash flow breakeven
  • * Operating margin improvement and unit economics by business segment
  • * Capital adequacy and likelihood of equity financing dilution
  • * Customer acquisition cost trends relative to customer lifetime value

FLDDW Financial Metrics

Revenue
$31.8M
Net Income
$-69.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$-1.65
Free Cash Flow
$-16.1M
Total Assets
$153.5M
Cash Position
$7.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

FLDDW Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -218.9%
Net Margin -218.9%
ROE -110.5%
ROA -45.3%
FCF Margin -50.7%

FLDDW vs Finance Sector

How Fold Holdings, Inc. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
FLDDW -218.9%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
FLDDW Sector
ROE
FLDDW -110.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
FLDDW Sector
Current Ratio
FLDDW 0.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
FLDDW Sector
Debt/Equity
FLDDW 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
FLDDW Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is FLDDW Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Fold Holdings, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-110.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
-218.9%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

FLDDW Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.86x
Quick Ratio
0.84x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
59.0%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
N/A

FLDDW 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

FLDDW 5-year financial data: Year 2025: Revenue $31.8M, Net Income -$65.1M, EPS $-11.15.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Fold Holdings, Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $-11.15 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

FLDDW Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-50.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

FLDDW Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Fold Holdings, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $5.2M $554.2K $0.01
Q2 2025 $5.1M -$2.3M $0.28
Q1 2025 $4.9M -$945.0K $-0.16

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

FLDDW Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$16.1M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$116.7M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends
None
No dividend program

FLDDW SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Fold Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001889123)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 23, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 23, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 23, 2026 8-K fld-20260323.htm View →
Mar 17, 2026 10-K fld-20251231.htm View →
Mar 17, 2026 8-K fld-20260317.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about FLDDW

What is the AI rating for FLDDW?

Fold Holdings, Inc. (FLDDW) has an AI rating of STRONG SELL with 92% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are FLDDW's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 33.9% year-over-year indicating market demand. Positive stockholders' equity of $63.0M providing some balance sheet cushion.

What are the risks of investing in FLDDW?

Claude: Operating losses of -$69.6M with -218.9% operating margin indicating severe business model dysfunction. Negative free cash flow of -$16.1M annually with only $7.7M cash remaining, suggesting liquidity crisis within 6-12 months.

What is FLDDW's revenue and growth?

Fold Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $31.8M.

Does FLDDW pay dividends?

Fold Holdings, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find FLDDW SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Fold Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001889123) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is FLDDW's EPS?

Fold Holdings, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-1.65.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is FLDDW a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, Fold Holdings, Inc. has a STRONG SELL rating with 92% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is FLDDW stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for FLDDW: ROE of -110.5% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of -218.9% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy FLDDW stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Fold Holdings, Inc. a combined STRONG SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is FLDDW's free cash flow?

Fold Holdings, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-16.1M, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is -50.7%.

How does FLDDW compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin -218.9% (avg: 25%), ROE -110.5% (avg: 12%), current ratio 0.86 (avg: 1.2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 25, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI