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FICO Stock Analysis 2026 - FAIR ISAAC CORP AI Rating

FICO NYSE Services-Business Services, NEC DE CIK: 0000814547
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 24, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
62% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 FICO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $512.0M
Net Margin: 30.9%
Free Cash Flow: $173.9M
Current Ratio: 0.93x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $6.61
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Is FICO a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

FICO demonstrates exceptional operational profitability with strong revenue growth (15.9% YoY) and improving net income (27.1% YoY), supported by a best-in-class 30.9% net margin and robust free cash flow generation. However, a concerning negative stockholders' equity of -1.8B and substantial long-term debt of 3.2B against limited liquidity (0.93x current ratio) create financial distress signals that offset operational strength.

Why Buy FICO? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Outstanding net margin of 30.9% with operating margin of 45.7%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency
  • + Strong revenue growth of 15.9% YoY with net income acceleration of 27.1% YoY, demonstrating operating leverage
  • + Healthy free cash flow generation of 173.9M (34.0% FCF margin) provides cash for debt servicing despite low current assets
  • + Consistent insider activity with 11 Form 4 filings in last 90 days

FICO Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Negative stockholders' equity of -1.8B indicates technical insolvency; liabilities exceed assets by 1.9B
  • ! Elevated debt load of 3.2B long-term debt with interest coverage of only 3.8x leaves minimal margin for operational decline
  • ! Current ratio of 0.93x signals potential near-term liquidity constraints if working capital needs increase
  • ! Capital structure deterioration and leverage levels create refinancing risk and limit financial flexibility

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Trend in stockholders' equity and path to positive equity restoration
  • * Debt reduction progress relative to operating cash flow generation
  • * Sustenance of net margin expansion and revenue growth acceleration
  • * Working capital management and current ratio improvement

FICO Financial Metrics

Revenue
$512.0M
Net Income
$158.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$6.61
Free Cash Flow
$173.9M
Total Assets
$1.9B
Cash Position
$162.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 34.0% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

FICO Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 54.8%
Operating Margin 45.7%
Net Margin 30.9%
ROE N/A
ROA 8.5%
FCF Margin 34.0%

FICO vs Default Sector

How FAIR ISAAC CORP compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
FICO 30.9%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
FICO Sector
ROE
FICO 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
FICO Sector
Current Ratio
FICO 0.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
FICO Sector
Debt/Equity
FICO 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
FICO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is FICO Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, FAIR ISAAC CORP has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
30.9%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

FICO Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.93x
Quick Ratio
0.93x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
197.5%
Interest Coverage
3.85x
Long-term Debt
$3.2B

FICO 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

FICO 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income $192.1M, EPS $6.34. Year 2022: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income $236.4M, EPS $7.90. Year 2023: Revenue $1.5B, Net Income $392.1M, EPS $13.40. Year 2024: Revenue $1.7B, Net Income $373.5M, EPS $14.18. Year 2025: Revenue $2.0B, Net Income $429.4M, EPS $16.93.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: FAIR ISAAC CORP's revenue has grown significantly by 51% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $16.93 reflects profitable operations.

FICO Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
34.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

FICO Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for FAIR ISAAC CORP including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $440.0M $152.5M $6.14
Q3 2025 $447.8M $126.3M $5.05
Q2 2025 $433.8M $129.8M $5.16
Q1 2025 $382.1M $121.1M $4.80
Q3 2024 $398.7M $126.3M $5.05
Q2 2024 $380.3M $101.6M $4.00
Q1 2024 $344.9M $97.6M $3.84
Q3 2023 $349.0M $93.5M $3.61

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

FICO Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$174.1M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$171.2M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$226.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

FICO SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for FAIR ISAAC CORP (CIK: 0000814547)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 20, 2026 8-K d56220d8k.htm View →
Mar 11, 2026 8-K d92566d8k.htm View →
Mar 11, 2026 8-K d838805d8k.htm View →
Mar 6, 2026 4 xslF345X05/marketforms-72389.xml View →
Mar 6, 2026 4 xslF345X05/marketforms-72388.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about FICO

What is the AI rating for FICO?

FAIR ISAAC CORP (FICO) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are FICO's key strengths?

Claude: Outstanding net margin of 30.9% with operating margin of 45.7%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency. Strong revenue growth of 15.9% YoY with net income acceleration of 27.1% YoY, demonstrating operating leverage.

What are the risks of investing in FICO?

Claude: Negative stockholders' equity of -1.8B indicates technical insolvency; liabilities exceed assets by 1.9B. Elevated debt load of 3.2B long-term debt with interest coverage of only 3.8x leaves minimal margin for operational decline.

What is FICO's revenue and growth?

FAIR ISAAC CORP reported revenue of $512.0M.

Does FICO pay dividends?

FAIR ISAAC CORP does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find FICO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for FAIR ISAAC CORP (CIK: 0000814547) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is FICO's EPS?

FAIR ISAAC CORP has a diluted EPS of $6.61.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is FICO a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, FAIR ISAAC CORP has a HOLD rating with 62% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is FICO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for FICO: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 30.9% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy FICO stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives FAIR ISAAC CORP a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is FICO's free cash flow?

FAIR ISAAC CORP's operating cash flow is $174.1M, with capital expenditures of $226.0K. FCF margin is 34.0%.

How does FICO compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 30.9% (avg: 12%), ROE N/A (avg: 15%), current ratio 0.93 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 24, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI