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FERG Stock Analysis 2026 - Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/ AI Rating

FERG NYSE Wholesale-Hardware & Plumbing & Heating Equipment & Supplies DE CIK: 0002011641
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 24, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-10-31
HOLD
62% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 FERG Key Takeaways

Revenue: $8.2B
Net Margin: 7.0%
Free Cash Flow: $312.0M
Current Ratio: 1.88x
Debt/Equity: 0.68x
EPS: $2.90
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Is FERG a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Ferguson Enterprises demonstrates solid operational performance with healthy gross margins (30.7%) and positive free cash flow generation ($312M), but fundamentals reveal moderately weak returns on equity (9.4%) and return on assets (3.2%) typical of capital-intensive wholesale distribution. The company maintains adequate financial leverage (0.68x Debt/Equity) and liquidity (1.88x current ratio), though growth indicators and profitability expansion potential remain unclear without year-over-year comparisons.

Why Buy FERG? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong gross margin of 30.7% indicates pricing power and cost management in wholesale distribution
  • + Positive free cash flow of $312M with 3.8% FCF margin demonstrates cash generation capability
  • + Healthy balance sheet with moderate leverage (0.68x D/E ratio) and adequate liquidity (1.88x current ratio)
  • + Diversified revenue base of $8.2B in essential building supplies and HVAC distribution

FERG Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Weak return metrics (ROE 9.4%, ROA 3.2%) suggest suboptimal capital deployment efficiency
  • ! Absence of YoY growth data prevents assessment of revenue and earnings momentum trends
  • ! Capital-intensive business model requires sustained capex ($118M annually) to maintain competitive position
  • ! Quick ratio of 1.01x indicates limited working capital cushion and potential liquidity pressure

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Year-over-year revenue and net income growth rates
  • * Return on Equity trend and capital allocation decisions
  • * Operating cash flow consistency and free cash flow sustainability
  • * Working capital management and quick ratio improvement
  • * Debt service capacity via interest coverage ratio

FERG Financial Metrics

Revenue
$8.2B
Net Income
$570.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$2.90
Free Cash Flow
$312.0M
Total Assets
$17.7B
Cash Position
$526.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 3.8% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

FERG Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 30.7%
Operating Margin 9.4%
Net Margin 7.0%
ROE 9.4%
ROA 3.2%
FCF Margin 3.8%

FERG vs Default Sector

How Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/ compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
FERG 7.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
FERG Sector
ROE
FERG 9.4%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
FERG Sector
Current Ratio
FERG 1.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
FERG Sector
Debt/Equity
FERG 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
FERG Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is FERG Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/ shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
9.4%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
7.0%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.68x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

FERG Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.88x
Quick Ratio
1.01x
Debt/Equity
0.68x
Debt/Assets
65.8%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$4.1B

FERG 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

FERG 5-year financial data: Year 2024: Revenue $29.7B, Net Income $2.1B, EPS $9.69. Year 2025: Revenue $30.8B, Net Income $1.9B, EPS $9.12.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/'s revenue has shown modest growth of 3% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $9.12 reflects profitable operations.

FERG Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
3.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

FERG Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/ including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $7.8B $470.0M $2.34
Q3 2025 $7.3B $410.0M $2.07
Q2 2025 $6.7B $276.0M $1.38
Q1 2025 $7.7B $470.0M $2.34

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

FERG Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$430.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$208.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$118.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$164.0M
Returned to shareholders

FERG SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/ (CIK: 0002011641)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 16, 2026 DEF 14A ferg-20260315.htm View →
Mar 13, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773425606.xml View →
Mar 13, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773425559.xml View →
Mar 13, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773425510.xml View →
Mar 13, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773425462.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about FERG

What is the AI rating for FERG?

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/ (FERG) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are FERG's key strengths?

Claude: Strong gross margin of 30.7% indicates pricing power and cost management in wholesale distribution. Positive free cash flow of $312M with 3.8% FCF margin demonstrates cash generation capability.

What are the risks of investing in FERG?

Claude: Weak return metrics (ROE 9.4%, ROA 3.2%) suggest suboptimal capital deployment efficiency. Absence of YoY growth data prevents assessment of revenue and earnings momentum trends.

What is FERG's revenue and growth?

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/ reported revenue of $8.2B.

Does FERG pay dividends?

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/ pays dividends, with $164.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find FERG SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/ (CIK: 0002011641) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is FERG's EPS?

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/ has a diluted EPS of $2.90.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is FERG a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/ has a HOLD rating with 62% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is FERG stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for FERG: ROE of 9.4% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 7.0% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy FERG stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/ a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is FERG's free cash flow?

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/'s operating cash flow is $430.0M, with capital expenditures of $118.0M. FCF margin is 3.8%.

How does FERG compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 7.0% (avg: 12%), ROE 9.4% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.88 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 24, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-10-31 | Powered by Claude AI