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FCX Stock Analysis 2026 - FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC AI Rating

FCX NYSE Metal Mining DE CIK: 0000831259
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 24, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
62% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 FCX Key Takeaways

Revenue: $25.9B
Net Margin: 8.5%
Free Cash Flow: $1.1B
Current Ratio: 2.29x
Debt/Equity: 0.50x
EPS: $1.24
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Is FCX a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Freeport-McMoran demonstrates solid operational performance with strong margins (25.2% operating margin) and excellent liquidity metrics, but faces headwinds from declining profitability (net income down 46.9% YoY) that suggest commodity price pressure or cost challenges. The company maintains fortress-like financial health with low leverage (0.50x debt/equity) and strong cash generation, though free cash flow conversion at 4.3% of revenue warrants monitoring.

Why Buy FCX? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional liquidity position with 2.29x current ratio and $3.8B cash reserves
  • + Strong operational efficiency reflected in 25.2% operating margin despite commodity sector volatility
  • + Fortress balance sheet with 0.50x debt/equity ratio and 103.5x interest coverage ratio providing financial flexibility
  • + Consistent operating cash flow generation of $5.6B indicating resilient underlying business operations

FCX Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Severe net income decline of 46.9% YoY signals deteriorating profitability despite stable revenues, indicating pricing pressure or rising costs
  • ! Low free cash flow margin of 4.3% despite $5.6B operating cash flow reflects heavy capital intensity with $4.5B capex requirements
  • ! Commodity price exposure creates earnings volatility - revenue growth of only 2.9% YoY suggests challenging market conditions
  • ! ROA of 3.8% and ROE of 11.7% are modest for capital-intensive operations, indicating underutilized asset base or margin compression

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net profit margin trend - critical to confirm whether 46.9% decline is cyclical or structural
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability relative to capital expenditure commitments
  • * Commodity price realizations and production volumes to assess near-term earnings recovery potential
  • * Free cash flow growth and capital allocation decisions given fortress balance sheet

FCX Financial Metrics

Revenue
$25.9B
Net Income
$2.2B
EPS (Diluted)
$1.24
Free Cash Flow
$1.1B
Total Assets
$58.2B
Cash Position
$3.8B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 4.3% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. Strong liquidity with a 2.29x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

FCX Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 25.2%
Net Margin 8.5%
ROE 11.7%
ROA 3.8%
FCF Margin 4.3%

FCX vs Default Sector

How FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
FCX 8.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
FCX Sector
ROE
FCX 11.7%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
FCX Sector
Current Ratio
FCX 2.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
FCX Sector
Debt/Equity
FCX 0.5x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
FCX Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is FCX Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
11.7%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
8.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.50x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

FCX Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.29x
Quick Ratio
2.01x
Debt/Equity
0.50x
Debt/Assets
47.1%
Interest Coverage
103.46x
Long-term Debt
$9.4B

FCX 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

FCX 5-year financial data: Year 2020: Revenue $18.9B, Net Income $2.9B, EPS $1.78. Year 2021: Revenue $22.4B, Net Income -$189.0M, EPS $-0.17. Year 2022: Revenue $23.3B, Net Income $865.0M, EPS N/A. Year 2023: Revenue $25.2B, Net Income $5.4B, EPS N/A. Year 2025: Revenue $25.2B, Net Income $3.8B, EPS N/A.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC's revenue has grown significantly by 33% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-0.17 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

FCX Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
4.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

FCX Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $6.7B $1.2B $0.36
Q2 2025 $6.4B $1.3B $0.42
Q1 2025 $5.6B $793.0M $0.24
Q3 2024 $5.9B $964.0M $0.31
Q2 2024 $5.9B $731.0M $0.23
Q1 2024 $5.1B $1.0B $0.32
Q3 2023 $5.3B $560.0M $0.28
Q2 2023 $5.9B $731.0M $0.23

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

FCX Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$5.6B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$107.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$4.5B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$865.0M
Returned to shareholders

FCX SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC (CIK: 0000831259)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 23, 2026 8-K fcx-20260320.htm View →
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/marketforms-72460.xml View →
Feb 24, 2026 4 xslF345X05/marketforms-72313.xml View →
Feb 24, 2026 8-K fcx-20260218.htm View →
Feb 18, 2026 4 xslF345X05/marketforms-72232.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about FCX

What is the AI rating for FCX?

FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC (FCX) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are FCX's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional liquidity position with 2.29x current ratio and $3.8B cash reserves. Strong operational efficiency reflected in 25.2% operating margin despite commodity sector volatility.

What are the risks of investing in FCX?

Claude: Severe net income decline of 46.9% YoY signals deteriorating profitability despite stable revenues, indicating pricing pressure or rising costs. Low free cash flow margin of 4.3% despite $5.6B operating cash flow reflects heavy capital intensity with $4.5B capex requirements.

What is FCX's revenue and growth?

FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC reported revenue of $25.9B.

Does FCX pay dividends?

FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC pays dividends, with $865.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find FCX SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC (CIK: 0000831259) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is FCX's EPS?

FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC has a diluted EPS of $1.24.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is FCX a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC has a HOLD rating with 62% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is FCX stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for FCX: ROE of 11.7% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 8.5% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy FCX stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is FCX's free cash flow?

FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC's operating cash flow is $5.6B, with capital expenditures of $4.5B. FCF margin is 4.3%.

How does FCX compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 8.5% (avg: 12%), ROE 11.7% (avg: 15%), current ratio 2.29 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 24, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI