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FCF Stock Analysis 2026 - FIRST COMMONWEALTH FINANCIAL CORP /PA/ AI Rating

FCF NYSE National Commercial Banks PA CIK: 0000712537
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 24, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
62% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 FCF Key Takeaways

Revenue: $632.7M
Net Margin: 24.1%
Free Cash Flow: $171.5M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.17x
EPS: $1.47
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Is FCF a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

FCF demonstrates solid profitability with strong operating margins (30.2%) and healthy free cash flow generation ($171.5M, 27.1% margin), supported by 48.5% revenue growth. However, concerning metrics including weak interest coverage (0.9x) and modest ROA (1.2%) alongside ROE (9.8%) suggest operational efficiency challenges typical of regional banks in a competitive environment.

Why Buy FCF? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional revenue growth of 48.5% YoY indicating strong business expansion or successful acquisitions
  • + Robust free cash flow generation of $171.5M with 27.1% FCF margin demonstrating cash conversion efficiency
  • + Healthy operating and net margins (30.2% and 24.1%) reflecting solid core profitability
  • + Conservative leverage with debt-to-equity of 0.17x indicating strong balance sheet stability

FCF Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Critical interest coverage ratio of 0.9x signals insufficient operating income to comfortably service debt obligations
  • ! Weak return metrics (ROA 1.2%, ROE 9.8%) suggest suboptimal asset utilization and below-average capital efficiency for banking sector
  • ! Significant insider trading activity (23 Form 4 filings in 90 days) warrants monitoring for potential signaling concerns
  • ! Net income growth (6.8% YoY) substantially lags revenue growth (48.5%), indicating margin compression or integration challenges

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio trending toward 1.5x+ for debt service sustainability
  • * Return on assets and ROE improvement trajectory toward industry benchmarks (2.5%+ ROA, 12%+ ROE)
  • * Net income growth acceleration relative to revenue to confirm margin stabilization
  • * Quarterly operating cash flow consistency and capital allocation strategy

FCF Financial Metrics

Revenue
$632.7M
Net Income
$152.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.47
Free Cash Flow
$171.5M
Total Assets
$12.3B
Cash Position
$180.4M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 27.1% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

FCF Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 30.2%
Net Margin 24.1%
ROE 9.8%
ROA 1.2%
FCF Margin 27.1%

FCF vs Finance Sector

How FIRST COMMONWEALTH FINANCIAL CORP /PA/ compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
FCF 24.1%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
FCF Sector
ROE
FCF 9.8%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
FCF Sector
Current Ratio
FCF 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
FCF Sector
Debt/Equity
FCF 0.2x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
FCF Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is FCF Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, FIRST COMMONWEALTH FINANCIAL CORP /PA/ has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
9.8%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
24.1%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.17x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

FCF Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.17x
Debt/Assets
87.4%
Interest Coverage
0.93x
Long-term Debt
$261.7M

FCF 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

FCF 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: FIRST COMMONWEALTH FINANCIAL CORP /PA/'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $1.54 reflects profitable operations.

FCF Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
27.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

FCF Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$187.5M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$35.8M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$16.1M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$55.5M
Returned to shareholders

FCF SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for FIRST COMMONWEALTH FINANCIAL CORP /PA/ (CIK: 0000712537)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 19, 2026 DEF 14A d903157ddef14a.htm View →
Mar 12, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773347801.xml View →
Mar 12, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773347763.xml View →
Mar 12, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773347710.xml View →
Mar 12, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773347663.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about FCF

What is the AI rating for FCF?

FIRST COMMONWEALTH FINANCIAL CORP /PA/ (FCF) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are FCF's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional revenue growth of 48.5% YoY indicating strong business expansion or successful acquisitions. Robust free cash flow generation of $171.5M with 27.1% FCF margin demonstrating cash conversion efficiency.

What are the risks of investing in FCF?

Claude: Critical interest coverage ratio of 0.9x signals insufficient operating income to comfortably service debt obligations. Weak return metrics (ROA 1.2%, ROE 9.8%) suggest suboptimal asset utilization and below-average capital efficiency for banking sector.

What is FCF's revenue and growth?

FIRST COMMONWEALTH FINANCIAL CORP /PA/ reported revenue of $632.7M.

Does FCF pay dividends?

FIRST COMMONWEALTH FINANCIAL CORP /PA/ pays dividends, with $55.5M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find FCF SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for FIRST COMMONWEALTH FINANCIAL CORP /PA/ (CIK: 0000712537) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is FCF's EPS?

FIRST COMMONWEALTH FINANCIAL CORP /PA/ has a diluted EPS of $1.47.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is FCF a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, FIRST COMMONWEALTH FINANCIAL CORP /PA/ has a HOLD rating with 62% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is FCF stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for FCF: ROE of 9.8% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 24.1% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy FCF stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives FIRST COMMONWEALTH FINANCIAL CORP /PA/ a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is FCF's free cash flow?

FIRST COMMONWEALTH FINANCIAL CORP /PA/'s operating cash flow is $187.5M, with capital expenditures of $16.1M. FCF margin is 27.1%.

How does FCF compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 24.1% (avg: 25%), ROE 9.8% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 24, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI