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FBTC Stock Analysis 2026 - Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund AI Rating

FBTC CBOE Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers DE CIK: 0001852317
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 24, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
85% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 FBTC Key Takeaways

Revenue: N/A
Net Margin: N/A
Free Cash Flow: $-127.8M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $0.00
AI Rating: SELL with 85% confidence

Is FBTC a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

FBTC is a bitcoin fund experiencing significant operational losses (-$1.6B net income) with negative cash flow (-$127.8M operating), indicating the fund is losing value at an unsustainable rate. While the fund maintains a strong balance sheet with $17.6B in equity and minimal debt, the fundamental business model of a commodity fund does not generate traditional revenues, making the persistent losses a critical concern for fund viability and shareholder value preservation.

Why Buy FBTC? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Minimal leverage with 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio and only $70.3M in liabilities
  • + Large asset base of $17.7B provides operational scale
  • + Zero long-term debt eliminates refinancing risk

FBTC Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Severe net losses of -$1.6B (-122.8% YoY decline) indicating deteriorating fund performance
  • ! Negative operating cash flow of -$127.8M reflects ongoing value erosion for shareholders
  • ! No traditional revenue generation as a commodity fund creates structural profitability challenges
  • ! Negative ROE and ROA of -9.0% demonstrate poor capital efficiency

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Fund net asset value (NAV) and total assets trend
  • * Operating cash flow stabilization and path to positive FCF
  • * Assets under management (AUM) changes and investor redemptions
  • * YoY change in net losses and operating efficiency

FBTC Financial Metrics

Revenue
N/A
Net Income
$-1.6B
EPS (Diluted)
$0.00
Free Cash Flow
$-127.8M
Total Assets
$17.7B
Cash Position
$0.0

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

FBTC Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin N/A
ROE -9.0%
ROA -9.0%
FCF Margin N/A

FBTC vs Default Sector

How Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
FBTC 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
FBTC Sector
ROE
FBTC -9.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
FBTC Sector
Current Ratio
FBTC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
FBTC Sector
Debt/Equity
FBTC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
FBTC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is FBTC Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-9.0%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
N/A
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

FBTC Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
0.4%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
N/A

FBTC 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

FBTC 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund's revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline.

FBTC Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
N/A
Free cash flow / Revenue

FBTC Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$127.8M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$9.8B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends
None
No dividend program

FBTC SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (CIK: 0001852317)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Feb 25, 2026 10-K ck0001852317-20251231.htm View →
Feb 5, 2026 8-K ck0001852317-20260202.htm View →
Nov 7, 2025 10-Q ck0001852317-20250930.htm View →
Aug 8, 2025 10-Q ck0001852317-20250630.htm View →
Jul 23, 2025 8-K ck0001852317-20250721.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about FBTC

What is the AI rating for FBTC?

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) has an AI rating of SELL with 85% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are FBTC's key strengths?

Claude: Minimal leverage with 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio and only $70.3M in liabilities. Large asset base of $17.7B provides operational scale.

What are the risks of investing in FBTC?

Claude: Severe net losses of -$1.6B (-122.8% YoY decline) indicating deteriorating fund performance. Negative operating cash flow of -$127.8M reflects ongoing value erosion for shareholders.

What is FBTC's revenue and growth?

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund reported revenue of N/A.

Does FBTC pay dividends?

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find FBTC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (CIK: 0001852317) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is FBTC's EPS?

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund has a diluted EPS of $0.00.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is FBTC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund has a SELL rating with 85% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is FBTC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for FBTC: ROE of -9.0% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of N/A (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy FBTC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is FBTC's free cash flow?

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund's operating cash flow is $-127.8M, with capital expenditures of N/A.

How does FBTC compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin N/A (avg: 12%), ROE -9.0% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 24, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI