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RIG Stock Analysis 2026 - Transocean Ltd. AI Rating

RIG NYSE Drilling Oil & Gas Wells V8 CIK: 0001451505
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 9, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
78% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 RIG Key Takeaways

Revenue: $4.0B
Net Margin: -73.5%
Free Cash Flow: $626.0M
Current Ratio: 1.56x
Debt/Equity: 0.70x
EPS: $-3.04
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence

Is RIG a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Transocean is deeply unprofitable with a -73.5% net margin and -58.9% operating margin, losing $2.9B annually despite $4B revenue growth. While positive free cash flow ($626M) and moderate leverage (0.70x) provide near-term stability, the company cannot cover interest from operations and faces severe profitability headwinds with unclear path to recovery. Cyclical industry recovery is uncertain given the scale of structural losses.

Why Buy RIG? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Revenue growth of +12.5% YoY demonstrates continued demand for drilling services
  • + Positive free cash flow of $626M (15.8% FCF margin) provides operational liquidity despite losses
  • + Moderate debt/equity ratio of 0.70x limits immediate insolvency risk

RIG Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Catastrophic profitability: -73.5% net margin and -58.9% operating margin indicate severe operational distress
  • ! Interest coverage of -20.0x means company cannot service debt from operations and must rely on cash reserves
  • ! Deteriorating shareholder returns with diluted EPS of -$3.04 (down 300% YoY) and negative ROE of -36.0%
  • ! Low cash position ($620M) relative to $5.7B long-term debt and annual losses of $2.9B creates cash runway risk
  • ! Asset-intensive drilling industry facing headwinds; large impairments/depreciation charges distorting earnings

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Path to operating profitability and trend in operating margin
  • * Cash burn rate and runway given current cash position versus annual losses
  • * Debt refinancing ability and ability to meet interest obligations from cash flow
  • * Utilization rates and dayrates for drilling assets in the offshore market

RIG Financial Metrics

Revenue
$4.0B
Net Income
$-2.9B
EPS (Diluted)
$-3.04
Free Cash Flow
$626.0M
Total Assets
$15.6B
Cash Position
$620.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Transocean Ltd. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

RIG Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -58.9%
Net Margin -73.5%
ROE -36.0%
ROA -18.6%
FCF Margin 15.8%

RIG vs Energy Sector

How Transocean Ltd. compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
RIG -73.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
RIG Sector
ROE
RIG -36.0%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
RIG Sector
Current Ratio
RIG 1.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
RIG Sector
Debt/Equity
RIG 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
RIG Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is RIG Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Transocean Ltd. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-36.0%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
-73.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.70x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

RIG Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.56x
Quick Ratio
1.56x
Debt/Equity
0.70x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
-19.97x
Long-term Debt
$5.7B

RIG 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

RIG 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $3.2B, Net Income -$1.3B, EPS $-2.05. Year 2022: Revenue $3.2B, Net Income -$567.0M, EPS $-0.92. Year 2023: Revenue $2.8B, Net Income -$592.0M, EPS $-0.93. Year 2024: Revenue $3.5B, Net Income -$621.0M, EPS $-0.89. Year 2025: Revenue $4.0B, Net Income -$954.0M, EPS $-1.24.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Transocean Ltd.'s revenue has grown significantly by 26% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-1.24 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

RIG Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
15.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

RIG Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Transocean Ltd. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $948.0M -$494.0M $-0.58
Q2 2025 $861.0M -$25.0M $-0.03
Q1 2025 $763.0M -$79.0M $0.11
Q3 2024 $713.0M -$220.0M $-0.28
Q2 2024 $729.0M -$25.0M $-0.03
Q1 2024 $649.0M $98.0M $0.11
Q3 2023 $691.0M -$28.0M $-0.04
Q2 2023 $692.0M -$68.0M $-0.10

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

RIG Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$749.0M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$123.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

RIG SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Transocean Ltd. (CIK: 0001451505)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 8-K rig-20260402x8k.htm View →
Mar 31, 2026 DEF 14A rig-20260522xdef14a.htm View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-03062026_120314.xml View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-03042026_020354.xml View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-03042026_020303.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about RIG

What is the AI rating for RIG?

Transocean Ltd. (RIG) has an AI rating of SELL with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are RIG's key strengths?

Claude: Revenue growth of +12.5% YoY demonstrates continued demand for drilling services. Positive free cash flow of $626M (15.8% FCF margin) provides operational liquidity despite losses.

What are the risks of investing in RIG?

Claude: Catastrophic profitability: -73.5% net margin and -58.9% operating margin indicate severe operational distress. Interest coverage of -20.0x means company cannot service debt from operations and must rely on cash reserves.

What is RIG's revenue and growth?

Transocean Ltd. reported revenue of $4.0B.

Does RIG pay dividends?

Transocean Ltd. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find RIG SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Transocean Ltd. (CIK: 0001451505) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is RIG's EPS?

Transocean Ltd. has a diluted EPS of $-3.04.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is RIG a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Transocean Ltd. has a SELL rating with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is RIG stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for RIG: ROE of -36.0% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of -73.5% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy RIG stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Transocean Ltd. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is RIG's free cash flow?

Transocean Ltd.'s operating cash flow is $749.0M, with capital expenditures of $123.0M. FCF margin is 15.8%.

How does RIG compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin -73.5% (avg: 12%), ROE -36.0% (avg: 14%), current ratio 1.56 (avg: 1.3).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 9, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI