📊 RDW Key Takeaways
Is RDW a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis
Redwire is in severe financial distress with a fundamentally broken business model. The company generated -$226.6M net income on $335.4M revenue (-67.6% margin) while burning -$190.8M in free cash flow, indicating the business cannot sustain operations at current scale. Despite 10.3% revenue growth and improving losses year-over-year, the company faces rapid cash depletion at a -$177.3M operating cash burn rate with only $94.5M in cash remaining.
Why Buy RDW? Key Strengths
- Revenue growth of 10.3% year-over-year shows top-line momentum
- Low leverage with 0.08x debt-to-equity ratio provides minimal financial distress risk from debt
- Improving loss trajectory with net income improving 16.8% YoY, suggesting operational progress toward breakeven
RDW Investment Risks to Consider
- Negative operating cash flow of -$177.3M and free cash flow of -$190.8M indicate unsustainable cash burn with ~6 months of runway remaining
- Gross margin of 5.2% suggests severe business model issues, integration challenges, or pricing inadequacy to cover operational structure
- Operating margin of -68.5% means the company loses $0.68 on every revenue dollar; growth without profitability accelerates losses
Key Metrics to Watch
- Gross margin trajectory - must improve above 15-20% for business viability
- Operating cash flow path to positive - critical survival metric
- Cash burn rate and runway - company must reach cash flow breakeven before cash depletion
RDW Financial Metrics
💡 AI Analyst Insight
Redwire Corp presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.
RDW Profitability Ratios
RDW vs Default Sector
How Redwire Corp compares to Default sector averages
Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.
Is RDW Overvalued or Undervalued?
Based on fundamental analysis, Redwire Corp has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.
Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.
RDW Balance Sheet & Liquidity
RDW 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis
5-Year Trend Summary: Redwire Corp's revenue has grown significantly by 144% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-0.73 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.
RDW Growth Metrics (YoY)
RDW Quarterly Performance
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $68.6M | -$21.0M | $-0.29 |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -$18.1M | $-0.42 |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -$2.9M | $-0.09 |
| Q3 2024 | $62.6M | -$6.3M | $-0.14 |
| Q2 2024 | $60.1M | -$5.5M | $-0.16 |
| Q1 2024 | $57.6M | -$7.3M | $-0.17 |
| Q3 2023 | $37.2M | -$6.3M | $-0.14 |
| Q2 2023 | $36.7M | -$5.5M | $-0.16 |
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.
RDW Capital Allocation
RDW SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis
Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Redwire Corp (CIK: 0001819810)
📋 Recent SEC Filings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions about RDW
What is the AI rating for RDW?
Redwire Corp (RDW) has an AI rating of STRONG SELL with 88% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.
What are RDW's key strengths?
Claude: Revenue growth of 10.3% year-over-year shows top-line momentum. Low leverage with 0.08x debt-to-equity ratio provides minimal financial distress risk from debt.
What are the risks of investing in RDW?
Claude: Negative operating cash flow of -$177.3M and free cash flow of -$190.8M indicate unsustainable cash burn with ~6 months of runway remaining. Gross margin of 5.2% suggests severe business model issues, integration challenges, or pricing inadequacy to cover operational structure.
What is RDW's revenue and growth?
Redwire Corp reported revenue of $335.4M.
Does RDW pay dividends?
Redwire Corp does not currently pay dividends.
Where can I find RDW SEC filings?
Official SEC filings for Redwire Corp (CIK: 0001819810) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.
What is RDW's EPS?
Redwire Corp has a diluted EPS of $-2.28.
How is the AI analysis conducted?
Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.
Is RDW a good stock to buy right now?
Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Redwire Corp has a STRONG SELL rating with 88% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.
Is RDW stock overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation metrics for RDW: ROE of -21.4% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -67.6% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.
Should I buy RDW stock in 2026?
Our dual AI analysis gives Redwire Corp a combined STRONG SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.
What is RDW's free cash flow?
Redwire Corp's operating cash flow is $-177.3M, with capital expenditures of $13.5M. FCF margin is -56.9%.
How does RDW compare to other Default stocks?
Vs Default sector averages: Net margin -67.6% (avg: 12%), ROE -21.4% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.62 (avg: 1.8).