← Back to All US Stocks

Redwire Corp (RDW) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

RDW NYSE Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts CIK: 0001819810
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
74% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
SELL
82% Conf
SELL
66% Conf

📊 RDW Key Takeaways

Revenue: $97.0M
Net Margin: -78.9%
Free Cash Flow: $-11.4M
Current Ratio: 1.75x
Debt/Equity: 0.08x
EPS: $-0.40
AI Rating: SELL with 82% confidence
Redwire Corp (RDW) receives a SELL rating with 74% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $97.0M, net profit margin of -78.9%, and return on equity (ROE) of -7.0%, Redwire Corp demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete RDW stock analysis for 2026.

Is Redwire Corp (RDW) a Good Investment?

Claude

Redwire exhibits fundamental profitability failure with a -78.9% net margin and -71.9% operating margin, alongside negative operating cash flow (-$6.7M), indicating the business model cannot sustain itself despite 10.3% revenue growth. While the balance sheet is fortress-like with minimal debt and adequate liquidity, the company is burning capital with no clear path to profitability, and losses must improve substantially before investment viability.

ChatGPT

Despite double-digit revenue growth and a modestly leveraged balance sheet, Redwire’s core operations are deeply unprofitable with extremely low gross margins and significant operating losses. Until the company demonstrates sustained margin expansion and a clear path to positive operating cash flow, the ongoing cash burn poses a material financing and execution risk.

Why Buy Redwire Corp Stock? RDW Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong balance sheet with minimal leverage (0.08x debt-to-equity) and $144.5M cash buffer providing operational runway
  • + Adequate liquidity ratios (1.75x current, 1.37x quick) indicating near-term solvency
  • + Revenue growth of 10.3% YoY and improving loss trajectory (net loss improved 16.8% year-over-year)
ChatGPT
  • + Double-digit revenue growth (+10.3% YoY)
  • + Low leverage with debt/equity of 0.08x
  • + Adequate near-term liquidity (current 1.62x, quick 1.27x)

RDW Stock Risks: Redwire Corp Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Severe operating leverage problem: $69.7M operating loss on $97M revenue indicates broken unit economics and cost structure misalignment
  • ! Negative free cash flow (-$11.4M) and operating cash flow (-$6.7M) unsustainable with finite $144.5M cash; current burn rate threatens balance sheet within 12-15 years
  • ! Gross margin of 26.6% insufficient to cover operating expenses, signaling either pricing pressure, cost inflation, or revenue mix deterioration in aerospace/defense sector
ChatGPT
  • ! Persistently negative margins (gross 5.2%, operating -68.5%)
  • ! Heavy cash burn (OCF -$177M, FCF -$191M) relative to $94M cash
  • ! Negative interest coverage indicating structurally unprofitable operations

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow inflection point and timeline to positive FCF sustainability
  • * Operating margin improvement trajectory and break-even timeline
  • * Cash depletion rate and whether revenue growth reaches sufficient scale to achieve positive unit economics
ChatGPT
  • * Gross margin %
  • * Operating cash flow (TTM)

Redwire Corp (RDW) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$97.0M
Net Income
$-76.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.40
Free Cash Flow
$-11.4M
Total Assets
$1.5B
Cash Position
$144.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Redwire Corp presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

RDW Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 26.6%
Operating Margin -71.9%
Net Margin -78.9%
ROE -7.0%
ROA -5.1%
FCF Margin -11.8%

RDW vs Market Sector: How Redwire Corp Compares

How Redwire Corp compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
RDW -78.9%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
RDW Sector
ROE
RDW -7.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
RDW Sector
Current Ratio
RDW 1.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
RDW Sector
Debt/Equity
RDW 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
RDW Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Redwire Corp Stock Overvalued? RDW Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Redwire Corp has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-7.0%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-78.9%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.08x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Redwire Corp Balance Sheet: RDW Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.75x
Quick Ratio
1.37x
Debt/Equity
0.08x
Debt/Assets
22.9%
Interest Coverage
-1.75x
Long-term Debt
$88.2M

RDW Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

RDW 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $137.6M, Net Income -$1.3M, EPS $0.00. Year 2022: Revenue $160.5M, Net Income -$61.5M, EPS $-1.36. Year 2023: Revenue $243.8M, Net Income -$130.6M, EPS $-2.09. Year 2024: Revenue $304.1M, Net Income -$27.3M, EPS $-0.73. Year 2025: Revenue $335.4M, Net Income -$27.3M, EPS $-0.73.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Redwire Corp's revenue has grown significantly by 144% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-0.73 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

RDW Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-11.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

RDW Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Redwire Corp including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $61.4M -$2.9M $-0.09
Q3 2025 $68.6M -$21.0M $-0.29
Q2 2025 $61.8M -$18.1M $-0.42
Q1 2025 $61.4M -$2.9M $-0.09
Q3 2024 $62.6M -$6.3M $-0.14
Q2 2024 $60.1M -$5.5M $-0.16
Q1 2024 $57.6M -$7.3M $-0.17
Q3 2023 $37.2M -$6.3M $-0.14

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Redwire Corp Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$6.7M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$4.8M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

RDW SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Redwire Corp (CIK: 0001819810)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 20, 2026 8-K rdw-20260520.htm View →
May 20, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2615153d1_4seq1.xml View →
May 7, 2026 10-Q rdw-20260331.htm View →
May 6, 2026 8-K rdw-20260506.htm View →
May 5, 2026 8-K rdw-20260505.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about RDW

What is the AI rating for RDW?

Redwire Corp (RDW) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (SELL) with 74% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are RDW's key strengths?

Claude: Strong balance sheet with minimal leverage (0.08x debt-to-equity) and $144.5M cash buffer providing operational runway. Adequate liquidity ratios (1.75x current, 1.37x quick) indicating near-term solvency. ChatGPT: Double-digit revenue growth (+10.3% YoY). Low leverage with debt/equity of 0.08x.

What are the risks of investing in RDW?

Claude: Severe operating leverage problem: $69.7M operating loss on $97M revenue indicates broken unit economics and cost structure misalignment. Negative free cash flow (-$11.4M) and operating cash flow (-$6.7M) unsustainable with finite $144.5M cash; current burn rate threatens balance sheet within 12-15 years. ChatGPT: Persistently negative margins (gross 5.2%, operating -68.5%). Heavy cash burn (OCF -$177M, FCF -$191M) relative to $94M cash.

What is RDW's revenue and growth?

Redwire Corp reported revenue of $97.0M.

Does RDW pay dividends?

Redwire Corp does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find RDW SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Redwire Corp (CIK: 0001819810) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is RDW's EPS?

Redwire Corp has a diluted EPS of $-0.40.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is RDW a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Redwire Corp has a SELL rating with 74% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is RDW stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for RDW: ROE of -7.0% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -78.9% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy RDW stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Redwire Corp a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is RDW's free cash flow?

Redwire Corp's operating cash flow is $-6.7M, with capital expenditures of $4.8M. FCF margin is -11.8%.

How does RDW compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin -78.9% (avg: 12%), ROE -7.0% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.75 (avg: 1.8).

Top Rated Stocks
AAPL 92% MSFT 92% FAST 92% ANET 88% RDDT 88% KNSL 88% MGRE 88% FIZZ 88% DECK 87% NVDA 87%
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI