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GTBIF Stock Analysis 2026 - Green Thumb Industries Inc. AI Rating

GTBIF OTC Agricultural Production-Crops CIK: 0001795139
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 10, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
68% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 GTBIF Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.2B
Net Margin: 9.7%
Free Cash Flow: $213.9M
Current Ratio: 3.26x
Debt/Equity: 0.13x
EPS: $0.48
AI Rating: BUY with 68% confidence

Is GTBIF a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Green Thumb demonstrates fortress financials with exceptional free cash flow generation ($213.9M, 18.2% FCF margin) and minimal leverage (D/E 0.13x), providing downside protection and capital flexibility. However, flat year-over-year revenue growth presents a significant concern, though the 56% net income growth indicates successful operational efficiency improvements that merit monitoring for sustainability.

Why Buy GTBIF? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation ($213.9M) with 18.2% FCF margin showing high-quality earnings
  • + Fortress balance sheet with minimal debt (D/E 0.13x), excellent liquidity (3.26x current ratio), and $274.3M cash
  • + Strong profitability growth: Net income +56.2% YoY, EPS +60% YoY despite flat revenue indicates margin expansion
  • + Robust interest coverage (10.2x) and sustainable operating cash flow of $294.9M
  • + Modest capital requirements (CapEx only 6.7% of revenue) allow reinvestment flexibility

GTBIF Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Stagnant revenue growth (0.0% YoY) indicates potential market saturation or competitive pressures in core business
  • ! Weak return metrics (ROE 6.0%, ROA 4.1%) despite low debt suggests suboptimal capital allocation efficiency
  • ! Profit growth tied to margin expansion may not be sustainable if operational leverage exhausted
  • ! High insider activity (18 Form 4 filings in 90 days) warrants scrutiny for potential insider sales
  • ! Modest operating and net margins (11.7% and 9.7%) limit profitability buffer in sector downturns

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth acceleration (critical inflection point)
  • * Gross margin sustainability and operating leverage trends
  • * Free cash flow per share and capital allocation decisions
  • * Return on Equity trajectory toward industry benchmarks

GTBIF Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.2B
Net Income
$114.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.48
Free Cash Flow
$213.9M
Total Assets
$2.8B
Cash Position
$274.3M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 3.26x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

GTBIF Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 48.9%
Operating Margin 11.7%
Net Margin 9.7%
ROE 6.0%
ROA 4.1%
FCF Margin 18.2%

GTBIF vs Default Sector

How Green Thumb Industries Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
GTBIF 9.7%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
GTBIF Sector
ROE
GTBIF 6.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
GTBIF Sector
Current Ratio
GTBIF 3.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
GTBIF Sector
Debt/Equity
GTBIF 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
GTBIF Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is GTBIF Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Green Thumb Industries Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
6.0%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
9.7%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.13x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

GTBIF Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
3.26x
Quick Ratio
2.36x
Debt/Equity
0.13x
Debt/Assets
31.5%
Interest Coverage
10.20x
Long-term Debt
$247.3M

GTBIF 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

GTBIF 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $893.6M, Net Income -$59.1M, EPS $-0.31. Year 2022: Revenue $1.0B, Net Income $15.0M, EPS $0.07. Year 2023: Revenue $1.1B, Net Income $75.4M, EPS $0.33. Year 2024: Revenue $1.1B, Net Income $12.0M, EPS $0.05. Year 2025: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $36.3M, EPS $0.15.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Green Thumb Industries Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 32% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.15 reflects profitable operations.

GTBIF Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
18.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

GTBIF Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Green Thumb Industries Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $286.9M $8.6M $0.04
Q2 2025 $280.1M -$645.0K $-0.01
Q1 2025 $275.8M $8.3M $0.04
Q3 2024 $275.4M $8.6M $0.04
Q2 2024 $252.4M $13.4M $0.05
Q1 2024 $248.5M $9.1M $0.04
Q3 2023 $261.2M $9.8M $0.04
Q2 2023 $252.4M $13.4M $0.05

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

GTBIF Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$294.9M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$81.1M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

GTBIF SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Green Thumb Industries Inc. (CIK: 0001795139)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04032026_040408.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04032026_040401.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04032026_040406.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04032026_040404.xml View →
Apr 1, 2026 8-K gtbif-20260331.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about GTBIF

What is the AI rating for GTBIF?

Green Thumb Industries Inc. (GTBIF) has an AI rating of BUY with 68% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are GTBIF's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation ($213.9M) with 18.2% FCF margin showing high-quality earnings. Fortress balance sheet with minimal debt (D/E 0.13x), excellent liquidity (3.26x current ratio), and $274.3M cash.

What are the risks of investing in GTBIF?

Claude: Stagnant revenue growth (0.0% YoY) indicates potential market saturation or competitive pressures in core business. Weak return metrics (ROE 6.0%, ROA 4.1%) despite low debt suggests suboptimal capital allocation efficiency.

What is GTBIF's revenue and growth?

Green Thumb Industries Inc. reported revenue of $1.2B.

Does GTBIF pay dividends?

Green Thumb Industries Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find GTBIF SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Green Thumb Industries Inc. (CIK: 0001795139) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is GTBIF's EPS?

Green Thumb Industries Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.48.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is GTBIF a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Green Thumb Industries Inc. has a BUY rating with 68% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is GTBIF stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for GTBIF: ROE of 6.0% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 9.7% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy GTBIF stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Green Thumb Industries Inc. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is GTBIF's free cash flow?

Green Thumb Industries Inc.'s operating cash flow is $294.9M, with capital expenditures of $81.1M. FCF margin is 18.2%.

How does GTBIF compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 9.7% (avg: 12%), ROE 6.0% (avg: 15%), current ratio 3.26 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 10, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI